Saturday, April 10, 2021
N. P. Upadhyaya, Kathmandu: Needless to say, American loss is China’s gains and vice versa.
As the luck would have it, China’s advances are immense these days.
The month of March this year has tentatively favored China speaking on political terms.
It was this month which brought China and the US almost to a violent verbal confrontation in Alaska wherein US Secretary of State Antony Blinken exploded on China on the matters related to Xinxiang and Hong Kong affairs which China claims that these were its internal dealings.
The US also, as usual, complained against China on issues related with Taiwan and Chinese pressure on Australia in the recent months.
US top diplomat Antony Blinken confronted with China’s diplomatic team led by Communist Party Secretary on Foreign Undertakings, Yang Jiechi and the sitting Foreign Minister Wang Yi.
The two top Chinese diplomats told the US in no uncertain terms that it in no way is the “spokesman for international public opinion and it should resolve its own domestic problems instead of trying to create new copies of American democracy abroad”.
It was almost some sort of verbal challenge to the US from China.
Writes Robert Ford in his fresh article on “Chinese Diplomatic Gains against America” dated March 31, 2021 quoting Yang Jiechi as saying that “Washington should stop its interventions to change regimes, and fix its own human rights failures, for example the problems with America’s black communities”.
Perhaps he was referring to some incidents in the US that have gone against the Black Americans in the recent years and decades.
Even in the recent days and weeks, the Asian-Americans have become the targets of some in the US. This is scary indeed.
Notably, Robert Ford is a former US ambassador to Syria and Algeria and a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute for Near East Policy in Washington.
If one were to believe Robert Ford then the Alaska meet was a catastrophe for the US wherein the confronting side China almost prevailed over its arch enemy.
Should this mean that Trumpian administration was more aggressive on China than the incumbent Biden’s management?
In addition, the Chinese diplomatic team at Alaska also suggested the US to repose trust on the UN system and allow the UN body to speak on international issues.
Quite interestingly, almost the same sentiments were put on record by the Foreign Minister of Russian federation, Sergei Lavrov, in Guilin City in China’s Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region during his fresh visit.
FM Lavrov was in Guilin City from March 22-23 last month.
This meet of Wang and Lavrov-the two veteran diplomats from China and Russia is significant in that the two countries appear on the same page on prevailing international issues after the US-China Alaska meet held on March 18.
The Russian-China coming together may bring in political complications for the new US administration, say South Asian political commentators.
This meet amply demonstrated that both China and the Russian federation have decided to take a coordinated approach to the US moves on international matters.
Much to the surprise of the US administration, FM Lavrov through a Russian Foreign Ministry statement criticized the “Western attempts to promote its concept of a rules-based international order.”
Sergei Lavrov stressed that China and Russia both reject the “illegal unilateral sanctions” leveled by the West and discussed the two countries’ efforts to reduce the influence of the U.S. dollar.
Writes the MEMRI ( Russia, China | Special Dispatch No. 9252 dated March 24, 2021) that according to Chinese senior analysts, the joint statement is a significant setback for the U.S. “rules-based international order,” as it stresses that all countries must resolutely safeguard the international structure, which includes the United Nations, and the international order, which is based on international law.
The Chinese position on democracy after Wang Yi and Sergei Lavrov meet says that, “There is no uniform standard for the model of democracy. The legitimate right of sovereign states to choose their own path of development should be respected. Interfering in sovereign states’ internal affairs under the guise of ‘promoting democracy’ is unacceptable”.
This is strong word for the US.
This statement makes clear the Chinese concept of democracy which sharply differs from the notion of the US on democracy and its inherent values.
It would be apposite to present the “model of democracy” in Nepal which has been run by India bend-RAW trained thug aristocratic communists who are perhaps excessively loved by the US also or else these ruffian Nepali communists would have been unseated by the US which, as far as we understand, hates Communists and its spread across the globe.
If the US hated baby Kim of North Korea then Nepali communists are more scoundrel sort of Communists than what baby Kim Jung-un is.
Or some even say that since the Nepali communists are not communists worth the name so the US takes them as “aristocratic democrats” and does not fear of their spread or for that matter their corrupt practices.
To recall, long time back the US Ambassador Michael E. Malinowaski expressed his eagerness to visit the UML headquarters in Balkhu.
The hooligans who occupied Balkhu palace replaced the photos of Marx, Lenin, Stalin and Mao with that of Abraham Lincoln.
The US envoy was quick enough to notice the Communists thuggery. He then must have “informed” Washington of the Communist tricksters of Nepal.
Or some even say that the US likes the Nepali communists as they tentatively work for the RAW-Indian spy agency.
This way, the Communists serve the Indo-Pacific strategy and serve the US in a broader sense.
Back to the point:
Apart from the Chinese and the Russian views on democracy mentioned in the joint statement, the two powerful countries also talk on Iran, and peace in Afghanistan and many more.
On UN, the two foreign ministers from Russia and China stressed the need to follow the UN Charter and uphold true multilateralism and make international relations even more democratic than what it is today and accept and promote peaceful existence even with the countries that have differing political system(s) of their choice and have chosen their own development models.
As regards Iran, both China and Russia have asked the US to lift sanctions on Iran and settle the nuclear dispute with the Islamic State through the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).
The US’s overly stretched sanctions on Iran, notably, has only benefited Beijing to expand its influence in Tehran and ink a deal worth 400 billion.
This massive 400 billion Beijing-Tehran deal signed March 27, 2021, is talked to be far bigger than the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (With 60 billion investment).
All that China wants from Iran is the uninterrupted and “discounted” supply of Oli for long time to come which is expected to fulfil China’s increasing/swelling energy demands.
Had the US not imposed sanctions on Iran, India would have entered and exploited the Iranian energy for its development and that too at a dirt cheap price.
Iran is saved from Indian thuggery because of the latter’s strong ties with the US.
Political analysts now expect that the 400 billion Chinese investment in Iran will in all likelihood benefit Imran Khan’s Pakistan through the spillover effect.
South Asian analysts opine that the role of Pakistan due to its geo-strategic position is very essential in connecting China and Iran.
Pakistan’s political connections with these countries is in excellent form that bodes well for Pakistan specially and the region at large.
A Moscow based American analyst Andrew Korybko in an article published in the Express Tribune dated April 01, 2021 describes the China-Iran fresh deal as a “lifeline that would enhance the West Asian country’s long term stability in the face of US sanctions and increased US led regional military pressure.
Korybko adds saying that “it is in Pakistan’s interest not only to see to it that the larger neighborhood remains stable but also to enhance its regional connectivity with all interested countries in the vicinity.
Writes Korybko, “considering the fact that Pakistan hosts the Belt & Road Initiative’s (BRI) flagship of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, CPEC, it’s only natural that this megaproject expands westward into Iran as a result of China’s reportedly promised investments there”.
Chances thus remain high that the China aided Pakistan’s CPEC touches the proposed China’s investment in Iran.
This is logical in that Pakistan being darling to both China and Iran which may prompt both the countries in “consensus” to devise some mechanisms that benefits a nuclear Pakistan.
Pakistan having the expertise gained from the CPEC mega projects may assist both Iran and China in a way the countries prefer.
Moreover, Imran Khan being very close to the top Iranian and Chinese leadership will have no problems in approaching the two countries appealing them to explore some projects of commercial benefits for Pakistan.
Not only this, PM Khan by the same token is also not that far from the US who can use his good offices, if need be, to mediate between the US and China and the US with Iran.
It is up to the countries to seek if they wish to bring in Pakistan for mediation efforts.
Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan said, March 18 last month that Iran, as a rich source of energy, has the capacity to meet Pakistan’s energy needs.
“The Islamic Republic of Iran is our neighbor and a rich source of energy through which Pakistan’s energy needs can be met,” Khan said at the inaugural session of the two-day Islamabad Security Dialogue held March 17, 2021 in Islamabad.
This means that PM Khan was in advance knowledge that in a couple of days hence, China and Iran will enter into a mega deal.
To recall, the Iranian Ambassador to Pakistan, Seyed Mohammad Ali Hosseini, last December while talking to a TV channel RozeNews, had said that the Islamic Republic of Iran is one of the countries that is a rich source of energy, especially oil and gas and it is ready to help its neighbors meet their energy demands.
Writes Dr. Ramesh Kumar Vankwani in his fresh article “The Deal of Cooperation” dated April 02, 2021, that “the focus of Pakistan’s foreign policy is the promotion of cordial relations with the international community, but it is a matter of grave concern that our two neighbors, China and Iran, have been under US pressure for a long time. Both countries are also facing many hurdles in order to carry on international trade and foreign business activities”.
Dr. Ramesh is a member of the National Assembly and patron-in-chief of the Pakistan Hindu Council.
His article infers that since both China and Iran are currently the US target so the two aggrieved countries have had necessarily to come closer for their individual benefits and also to keep the region stable.
In addition, there are strong political rumors that India is being asked by the Gulf countries to adopt the route of Pakistan, instead of Iran, for access to the Middle East.
India and the Gulf countries enjoy cordial relations but yet why the Gulf nations now press India to adopt the route of Pakistan to get linked with the Central Asian countries is a point that needs serious debates.
And here again, Pakistan also enjoys cordial ties with the entire Gulf nations- more so with Saudi Arabia, the Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Qatar.
For the Saudis in the recent days and weeks, Pakistan’s PM Khan has become already a role model in so far as green environment revolution is concerned.
The Saudi Prince MBS is learnt to have already invited PM Khan to boost the afforestation drive in his country the way Khan has planted several billion trees in Pakistan that is being taken as an exemplary initiative for others.
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman duly announced the Saudi Green Initiative and the Middle East Green Initiative last week which aims to reduce carbon emissions in the region by 60 percent and tackle deforestation, among other plans.
MBS is learnt to have been impressed by Khan’s tree plantation drive in Pakistan.
Moreover, in the recent days the Foreign Ministers of Pakistan and Saudi Arabia have held telephonic conversations with each other and have vowed to work for peace and stability in the region and beyond.
It could thus be stated that the Saudis have once again inched closer to Pakistan.
Pakistan is close to Iran-the enemy nation for the entire Arab world and Israel.
But Pakistan is close to both-Iran and the Arab world. This has some meaning underneath.
President Biden has left Pakistan and Nepal this time from attending the Climate Conference. This is mysterious indeed.
Now on Afghanistan:
The Russia-China joint statement also talks on peace in Afghanistan.
On Afghanistan matters, the two sides attach importance to various international efforts together with the Moscow process and hope that all dialogue mechanisms pertaining to Afghanistan will complement with each other.
They also opined that peace and stability in Afghanistan should be “Afghan-owned and Afghan-led,” as stressed many a times by PM Imran Khan.
Khan has reasons to see peace and stability in Afghanistan as it borders the war torn country.
Washington is on record to have offered credits to Islamabad for encouraging Afghan Taliban leaders to the talks with the U.S. that brought the historic February 2020, Doha, deal to set the stage for closing what has been the longest war in American history.
In the meanwhile, Moscow had hosted the international conference on Afghanistan March last month, at which Russia, the United States, China and Pakistan released a joint statement calling on the Afghan sides to reach a peace deal and curb violence, and on the Taliban not to launch any offensives in the spring and summer.
Speaking on political terms, Pakistan is the single country in South Asia which enjoys cordial ties with China, the US, The Russian federation and the countries in the Gulf plus Iran.
Pakistan needs now to exhibit its diplomatic acumen for establishing peace and stability in the region and beyond. That’s all.