NYC earthquake risk: the Sixth Seal (Revelation 6:12)

NYC earthquake risk: Could Staten Island be heavily impacted?

By Ann Marie Barron

Updated May 16, 4:31 AM; Posted May 16, 4:00 AM

Rubble litters Main Street after an earthquake struck Sunday, Aug. 24, 2014, in Napa, Calif. A report by the U.S. Geological Survey outlines the differences between the effect of an earthquake in the West vs. one in the East. (AP Photo/Ben Margot)

STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. – While scientists say it’s impossible to predict when or if an earthquake will occur in New York City, they say that smaller structures — like Staten Island’s bounty of single-family homes — will suffer more than skyscrapers if it does happen.

„Earthquakes in the East tend to cause higher-frequency shaking — faster back-and-forth motion — compared to similar events in the West,“ according to a report by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), published on its website recently „Shorter structures are more susceptible to damage during fast shaking, whereas taller structures are more susceptible during slow shaking.“

DIFFERENCES IN INTENSITY

The report, „East vs West Coast Earthquakes,“ explains how USGS scientists are researching factors that influence regional differences in the intensity and effects of earthquakes, and notes that earthquakes in the East are often felt at more than twice the distance of earthquakes in the West.

Predicting when they will occur is more difficult, said Thomas Pratt, a research geophysicist and the central and Eastern U.S. coordinator for the USGS Earthquake Hazards Program in Reston, Va.

„One of the problems in the East Coast is that we don’t have a history to study,“ he said. „In order to get an idea, we have to have had several cycles of these things. The way we know about them in California is we dig around in the mud and we see evidence of past earthquakes.“

Yet Pratt wouldn’t rule out the possibility of a high-magnitude event taking place in New York, which sits in the middle the North American Tectonic Plate, considered by experts to be quite stable.

„We never know,“ he said. „One could come tomorrow. On the other hand, it could be another 300 years. We don’t understand why earthquakes happen (here) at all.“

Though the city’s last observable earthquake occurred on Oct. 27, 2001, and caused no real damage, New York has been hit by two Magnitude 5 earthquakes in its history – in 1738 and in 1884 — prompting many to say it is „due“ for another.

While earthquakes generally have to be Magnitude 6 or higher to be considered „large,“ by experts, „a Magnitude 5, directly under New York City, would shake it quite strongly,“ Pratt said.

The reason has to do with the rock beneath our feet, the USGS report says.

OLDER ROCKS

In the East, we have older rocks, some of which formed „hundreds of millions of years before those in the West,“ the report says. Since the faults in the rocks have had so much time to heal, the seismic waves travel more efficiently through them when an earthquake occurs.

„Rocks in the East are like a granite countertop and rocks in the West are much softer,“ Pratt said. „Take a granite countertop and hit it and it’ll transmit energy well. In the West, it’s like a sponge. The energy gets absorbed.“

If a large, Magnitude 7 earthquake does occur, smaller structures, and older structures in Manhattan would be most vulnerable, Pratt said. „In the 1920s, ’30s and late 1800s, they were not built with earthquake resistance,“ he said, noting that newer skyscrapers were built to survive hurricanes, so would be more resistant.

When discussing earthquake prediction and probability, Pratt uses the analogy of a baseball player who averages a home run every 10 times at bat and hasn’t hit one in the past nine games: „When he’s up at bat, will he hit a home run? You just don’t know.“

And though it would probably take a magnitude of 7 to topple buildings in the city, smaller earthquakes are still quite dangerous, he said.

„Bookshelves could fall down and hit you,“ he said. „People could be killed.“ A lot of stone work and heavy objects fell from buildings when a quake of 5.8 magnitude struck central Virginia in 2011, he noted, but, fortunately, no one was injured.

To be safe, Pratt encourages New Yorkers to keep a few days‘ worth of drinking water and other supplies on hand. He, himself, avoids putting heavy things up high.

„It always gets me nervous when I go into a restaurant that has heavy objects high on shelves,“ he said. „It’s unlikely you’ll get an earthquake. But, we just don’t know.“

Seven Winds of God’s Wrath (Jeremiah 23)

Hurricane season peaks today, and the Hurricane Center is watching 7 systems

By Allison Chinchar, CNN Meteorologist

Updated 1:13 PM ET, Thu September 10, 2020

(CNN)Atlantic hurricane season statistically peaks on September 10, and today seven systems are actively being watched.Two of them are named Paulette and Rene, and both are currently located over the central Atlantic Ocean.The other five are what we refer to as tropical waves or disturbances. Storm systems that aren’t yet tropical storms but have the potential to become storms within the next five days. Three of these systems are near the US.

The first, a low pressure located just off the coast of North Carolina, is producing a few showers and thunderstorms.Content by CNN UnderscoredLearn a new language for less with these Rosetta Stone dealsRosetta Stone has deals on one-year, two-year and even lifetime subscriptions so you can pick up a new language or two.”This system is expected to move inland over eastern North Carolina this afternoon, and therefore significant development is not expected,” the National Hurricane Center says on its website.The second system is currently in the eastern Gulf of Mexico. It is a very weak cluster of storms right now but may potentially strengthen as it moves into the western Gulf over the next several days.The third system is currently a large group of showers and thunderstorms northeast of the Central Bahamas. This system is forecast to move westward, crossing both the Bahamas and Florida by this weekend. Once it reaches the Gulf of Mexico early next week, it will have to potential to strengthen.The system to really watch for is a new tropical wave moving off the west coast of Africa, producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to intensify over the next few days, and has a 90% chance of becoming a named system in the next five days as it moves generally westward across the Atlantic Ocean.

La Niña is officially here

Today, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced they are issuing a La Niña Advisory, which simply means that La Niña conditions are present in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean.”The likelihood of La Niña forming was factored into NOAA’s record outlook for the 2020 hurricane season being “extremely active,” as La Niña weakens winds between the ocean surface and the upper levels of the atmosphere, which allows hurricanes to more easily grow,” Brandon Miller, CNN meteorologist points out isn’t just the presences of La Niña that is important, but also the lack of El Niño that influences the latter months of Atlantic hurricane season.”Typically, what ends Atlantic hurricane seasons is that vertical wind shear gets too strong,” says Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist at Colorado State University. “So, El Niño, via its impacts on vertical wind shear, has a stronger impact on September and especially October hurricanes than it does on August hurricanes. With La Niña, vertical wind shear tends to be lower, and consequently, we end up with more active late seasons.

Already a record start to the season

So far this season, we have seen 17 named storms. The average for an entire season is 12. Obviously, we are above that number, as we were supposed to be. Early in the season, forecasters called for a very active season. Additionally, many storms broke records for being the earliest named storm. For example, Cristobal was the earliest named “C” letter storm in recorded history. Hanna was the earliest “H” letter storm. All but three named storms (Arthur, Bertha, and Dolly) set records for being the earliest named storm for their respective letter. Despite the record pace and nearly three times the number of named storms that we should have by September 10th, the Accumulated Cyclone Energy, or ACE, is right on average,” explains Taylor Ward, CNN meteorologist.ACE is a measurement of the tropical cyclone activity for a season. It takes into account multiple factors, not just that it is a named storm. Other components such as the duration and intensity of a storm also factor in.”This speaks to the number of storms that have been weak and short-lived. Even looking at the five hurricanes we have had this year, only Laura was stronger than Category 1, three of the five were a hurricane for less than a day, and none were a hurricane for longer than 2 days,” says Ward.However, one thing to note is that ACE does not take into account whether a storm makes landfall or not. In theory, you could have a large buildup of ACE without ever having a storm make landfall in the US. This is important because we all know that it only takes one big storm to make landfall in the US to have widespread impacts. Case in point, by the end of August we had seven, yes seven, landfalling storms in the continental US. That was a record. The previous record was six landfalls set back in 1886 and 1916.

The Evasive Russian Nuclear Horn (Daniel 7)

Russia Develops New Technology to Detect Nukes

September 10, 2020 Christina Kitova

• Mephi developed technology using Red-100 detector.

• The plutonium detection will include the weapons grade levels.

• The technology will be utilized next year in the Tver region first.

Russia announced a device that can scan nuclear reactors at a distance. The device is developed and designed by the Mephi Nuclear University.  The surveillance can be carried out without needing permission to access the facility. It is essentially the RED-100 neutrino detector.

National research nuclear University is one of the first two national research universities in Russia (along with MISIS), established on April 8, 2009 on the basis of the Moscow Institute of engineering and physics (state University). The history goes back to the Moscow mechanical Institute of ammunition (MMIB), founded on November 22, 1942.

National Research Nuclear University MEPhI (Moscow Engineering Physics Institute) is one of the most recognized technical universities in Russia. MEPhI was founded in 1942 as the Moscow Mechanical Institute of Munitions.

The RED-100 detector uses 200 kilograms of liquid xenon cooled to -105 °C as the working substance. The entire installation is comparable in size to a human and can be mounted on a car. Such a machine could stop many kilometers away from a neutrino-emitting reactor and get information about it without attracting anyone’s attention.

The team does not need to be located on the nuclear station grounds. Additionally, this technology can be also mounted on drones in the future. It should be noted that as of now, the technology is not being mounted on unmanned aerial vehicles.

Furthermore, one of the most unique capabilities is the detection of plutonium. The plutonium detection will include weapons grade levels. The most common isotope, Pu-239, is produced when the most common isotope of uranium, U-238, absorbs a neutron and then quickly decays to plutonium.

It is this plutonium isotope that is most useful in making nuclear weapons, and it is produced in varying quantities in virtually all operating nuclear reactors. Project Manager Alexander Bolozdyn, in an interview with Russian news said:

Eight sovereign states— the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, China, India, Pakistan, and North Korea— have publicly announced successful detonation of nuclear weapons. Another, Israel, is widely suspected to possess nuclear weapons.

“Neutrinos are elementary particles formed in large quantities during nuclear reactions. To guarantee that the neutrinos [coming] from the nuclear reactor will be stopped, a light-year-thick wall of lead will be required, so that they can easily pass through the protection of the nuclear power plant. Based on the analysis of neutrino radiation, we can understand both the isotopic composition of the reaction and what is happening right now in the center of the reactor core.”

Neutrinos easily pass through any walls, since they rarely interact with matter. But for the same reason, they are difficult to catch. This requires bulky multi-ton installations. The largest of them uses a cubic kilometer of Antarctic ice.

Thus far, the device is in the final stages of being tested in the Mephi laboratory. The technology will be utilized next year in the Tver region first. There is a large interest in the device. This technology could be revolutionary to be able to conduct testing, including in countries like Saudi Arabia.

This is a huge announcement and it can be a great aid to understand and analyze capabilities of the myriad of nations pertaining to the weapons of mass destruction. This is especially true with escalation of Iran, North Korea, and possibly even China to expand nuclear weapons production.

The Merchant’s New Nuclear Weapon

What Is Trump’s New Nuclear Weapon?

The president claims it’s a new weapon, but it’s probably just a neutered version of a warhead that’s been around for decades.

By Kyle Mizokami SEP 10, 2020

In a series of interviews, President Donald Trump told Bob Woodward that he had built a new nuclear weapon system “nobody’s ever had.” However, the complexity of nuclear weapon design makes it virtually impossible for a new nuclear weapon system to have been developed in just three years.

Instead, Trump was likely talking about a modified W76 warhead, called the W76-2 which produces less of a bang.

Trump made the comments during interviews conducted for Woodward’s new book, Rage. In interview excerpts published by The Washington Post, the president bragged to the bestselling author and two-time Pulitzer winner:

“I have built a nuclear—a weapons system that nobody’s ever had in this country before. We have stuff that you haven’t even seen or heard about. We have stuff that Putin and Xi have never heard about before. There’s nobody—what we have is incredible.”

The statement was a curious one, as the federal government has neither made an announcement it is developing a new nuke nor sought funding to make one a reality. Nuclear weapons are enormously difficult and expensive to develop, and a new nuke would probably take the better part of a decade—or more—to go from the drafting table to sitting in a silo or bomb bay.

So what was Trump talking about? The president was likely alluding to the W76-2, a new nuclear warhead designed to fit on the U.S. Navy’s Trident D-5 submarine-launched ballistic missiles.

The U.S. Navy currently fields 12 nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines, each equipped with approximately 20 Trident D-5 submarine launched missiles. Each D-5 carries between four and five W-76 warheads each. The W-76 has an explosive yield of approximately 100 kilotons, or about six times the power of the bomb dropped on Hiroshima. With a range of 4,600 miles, a U.S. missile submarine parked off the coast of Canada could rain up to 80-100 warheads on western Russia.

The W76-2 was first mentioned by the Trump Administration in February 2018 as a weapon to “help counter any mistaken perception of an exploitable ‘gap’ in U.S. regional deterrence capabilities.” Military planners worried that the U.S. did not have a small, low-yield tactical nuclear weapon that could quickly respond to a Russian low-yield nuclear strike. America’s tactical nuclear weapons are restricted to airplane-delivered nuclear gravity bombs that could take hours to prepare and deploy. A Trident D-5 could deliver a low-yield weapon like the W76-2 in a matter of minutes, streaking past the enemy’s air defenses to virtually guarantee delivery.

Thermonuclear weapons like the W76-2 are designed to utilize two stages—primary and secondary—to achieve their advertised explosive yields. The primary fission stage is a low-yield nuclear weapon that then triggers the secondary stage, which sets off a much, much larger fusion explosion. The National Nuclear Security Agency has explained the W76-2 is simply a W76 configured for “primary-only detonation.” Nobody outside of the U.S. government is really sure how small the W76’s primary stage is, but it is likely between 4 and 10 kilotons, or 4,000 to 10,000 tons of TNT. The Federation of American Scientists (FAS) estimates the primary stage yield at five kilotons.

The W76-2 is simply a neutered W76 and, as a result, was relatively easy to develop. The weapon was deployed in late 2019 aboard the missile submarine USS Tennessee (see top). FAS estimates the U.S. government rebuilt 50 W76s to W76-2 configuration, and it’s likely that every missile submarine carries one or two missiles exclusively armed with them on every patrol.

Trump describes the W76-2 as a weapon “nobody’s ever had.” Yet the actual need for the W76-2 is heavily disputed outside of government, with many observers believing the weapon is unnecessary and dangerous. The Union of Concerned Scientists believes that an adversary would be able to detect the launch of a Trident D-5, but would not know if the warhead was the W76-2 or the vastly more powerful W76. The new warhead could thus blur the lines between battlefield and all-out nuclear warfare.

To the President’s credit he did not describe “his” new weapon as new, or exotic, or claim that it’s a capability that doesn’t exist anywhere else. As for his statement that the U.S. military has weapons “that you haven’t even seen or heard about”—we don’t have a clue what those are, but they almost certainly do exist.

The Arsenal for the First Nuclear War (Revelation 8 )

Missiles (Nukes) in ‘Conflict Region’: So. Asia, Mideast

September 9, 2020 DP2020

Pakistan’s missile arsenal forms an important part of its defense strategy for offsetting the significant conventional military advantages of its main rival, India. The country’s combined strategic forces allows it to target almost any point in India, and is now working more advanced technology to complicate developing Indian missile defense efforts.

“Our defensive capability is meant to take care of our immediate concerns. The birds can fly long distances though, but a conscious restraint has been the policy to avoid ruffling unnecessary feathers,” says a senior military official on condition of anonymity as he’s not authorized to comment officially.

India’s ballistic missile arsenal is a means to deliver nuclear weapons to deter both Pakistan and China. This has pushed India to develop longer range missiles and to diversify its delivery platforms beyond mobile land-based missiles. As their missile arsenal develops, doubts grow about how firmly they will hew to the minimum deterrence doctrine.

Iran possesses the largest and most diverse missile arsenal in the Middle East, –a potent tool for Iranian power projection and a credible threat to U.S. and partner military forces in the region.

The entire Middle East is a conflict zone, several regional experts say. This is fueling arms race in the region, a Pakistani defense official based in the Middle East told DesPardes earlier.

According to reports, arms sales have increased dramatically under President Trump’s watch, with Saudi Arabia as a top customer. Exports of major arms from the US grew by 23% in comparing the periods 2010–14 and 2015–19.

President Trump on Monday accused military leadership of perpetuating wars to boost profits for arms manufacturers, but his administration has made expanding arms sales a top priority throughout his tenure — exacerbating devastating conflicts in the process. 

In 2019, global defense spending saw its biggest jump in a decade. Rivalries and conflicts are stoking military investment in the region and worldwide.

The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) said the four percent rise, compared to a year earlier, was fueled by competition between major powers, new military technologies and rumbling warfare.

Israel has one of the most technologically advanced missile arsenals in the Middle East. Despite not officially acknowledging any nuclear program, it is widely believed that Israel does possess nuclear weapons.

With Iraq’s and Syria’s nuke installations struck and destroyed secretively by Israeli Defense Forces (IDF), who else in the wider region is a threat to its security?

IDF wants to “ensure the military maintains a constant and significant edge over its foes, notably Iran and Hezbollah”.

Israel now has new fifth-generation planes, namely the F-35 stealth fighter jet, which it purchased from the United States –to make its military better equipped to operate in the types of operations that it is expected to face in the coming years.

Israel wants to maintain qualitative military edge in the region.

Commenting on Israel’s threat perception, a senior Pakistani defense official said earlier, “Israeli threat of military action against all such facilities deemed detrimental to its security will remain real”.

The official spoke on condition of anonymity as he was not authorized to comment officially.

Pakistan does not recognize Israel. It stands for Palestinians’ rights to be recognized and settled first. The country’s main rival, India recognizes Israel –both are US allies.

Commenting on US-Israel relations and latter’s military and nuclear capabilities, an Asia-Pacific based geopolitical analyst tells DesPardes that Israel is effectively an autonomous 51st state of the USA. According to the analyst, “Israel’s ability to shape US regional policy exceeds that of any other allies”.

Under US law, any arms sales in the Middle East must take Israel’s qualitative military edge into account.

The protection afforded by the USA renders Israel an untouchable actor on world stage, says the analyst. “Its nukes and missiles are the spearheads of that symbiotic relationship.”

Drones Outside the Temple Walls (Revelation 11)

U.S. Military to Test Drones Israel Used to Parry Gaza Attacks

Gwen Ackerman

September 9, 2020, 3:33 AM MDT

Drone system upgraded in joint U.S.-Israel development program

Follow us @middleeast for more news on the region.

American soldiers are employing a drone that Israel pioneered to take down flaming kites launched over the border from the Hamas-run Gaza Strip, according to the Israeli Defense Ministry.

The Skylord drone, equipped with a system developed by an Israeli civilian drone company and the U.S. and Israeli defense departments, will be deployed in a pilot program to protect American forces against aerial threats, including hostile unmanned aircraft.

Its development is testament to the close cooperation between the Israeli and U.S. militaries. It’s also a reflection of an Israeli drone ecosystem nourished by veterans cycling in and out of the army throughout decades of reserves service and applying lessons learned in the civilian companies where they work.

The core of the system being put to the test by the American military was developed by Israeli startup Xtend, whose chief technology officer, Rubi Liani, took on the Gaza threat as a navy officer with a passion for drone racing.

The Israeli military initially was blindsided when Gaza militants began sending hundreds of incendiary balloons and kites over Israel’s southern border, setting thousands of acres of Israeli farmland and nature reserves on fire. Then Liani showed a top commander how recreational drones could take out these threats in less than 20 seconds. Xtend was born of that 2018 experience.

Global spending on drone technology is expected to grow as an overall percentage of military budgets as armies search for ways to optimize resources and minimize forces’ exposure to danger. It’s already more than doubled since 2014 to about $9 billion annually, according to the Center for the Study of the Drone at Bard College in New York, which estimates 95 countries possess military drone technology, up from 60 a decade ago.

At the same time, the expanded use of drones has generated criticism that they encourage human rights abuses by mitigating the political cost of keeping wars simmering.

The French Nuclear Horn Moves Into the Middle East (Daniel 7)

Power Balance In The East Mediterranean Is Changing As France Sends Nuclear-powered Aircraft Carrier

The delicate power balance in the East Mediterranean is changing dramatically and quickly as states begin to cooperate to contain and contract Turkish ambitions in the region. Turkey’s drive to secure and control gas and oil supplies has seen its military involve in Iraq, Syria and Libya, while also threatening war with Greece and Cyprus to annex their rights to energy exploration in the East Mediterranean. Among all this, Ankara also continues its threats against Israel and denounces the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

On the face of such aggression, Mossad considers Turkey to be a bigger threat to Israel than Iran. This also comes as Israel signed a peace treaty with the UAE, one of the biggest critics of Turkey who is not only financing elements of the Syrian Army, but is also militarily and financially supporting the Libyan National Army against jihadists loyal to the Turkish-backed Government of National Accords in Tripoli. Greece, Cyprus and Egypt have strong military relations and jointly oppose Turkish actions in Libya and the wider East Mediterranean region, while Greece, Cyprus and Israel also enjoy such relations.

However, as war rhetoric emanates from Ankara against so-called NATO-ally Greece, France has stepped up its support for the latter. This has been unexpected support as NATO, the EU and their major countries traditionally appease Turkish aggression against Greece and Cyprus. France has firmly committed its military to defend Greece in case of a Turkish attack. Effectively, we are at the cusp of an inter-NATO war in the East Mediterranean.

With Turkey creating problems on NATO’s southern flank, it would be easy for Moscow to take a step back and watch the Alliance continue its internal conflicts. However, Russia heavily depends on access to the Mediterranean via the Turkish-controlled Bosporus and Dardanelle Straits from the Black Sea which has always been an important economic and military geostrategic point for Russia. Any potential war between Greece and Turkey will inevitably see the Greek Navy blockade the Dardanelles, and therefore obstruct Russia’s quick access to the Mediterranean and the Suez Canal.

Although Russia has vocally said that international law must be implemented in the East Mediterranean, which favors Greece and Cyprus, Moscow has been careful not to antagonize the Turks either. However, to secure Russia’s interests in the region, the Kremlin might find itself forced to be actively involved in this inter-NATO hostility to ensure war does not breakout and hinder their access to the Mediterranean via the Black Sea.

Yesterday, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov was in Cyprus, where he emphasized the strong historic ties between Cyprus and Russia. It also comes as the Deputy Foreign Minister of Greece said that Athens wants to strengthen its ties with Moscow that were weakened by the previous government who were ousted in last year’s elections. These developments in Nicosia and Athens with Moscow appear as the Russian Foreign Ministry said that Greece is Russia’s “traditional partner” in Europe only days ago.

Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis and French President Emmanuel Macron will meet in Corsica tomorrow to create a “joint security doctrine” between their two countries. Macron is serious about creating such a doctrine as the Charles de Gaulle nuclear-powered aircraft carrier, the only one of its kind built in Europe, is sailing to the Greek continental shelf that Turkey considers its own. The de Gaulle not only carries up to 30 aircraft, but it can also transport 800 soldiers and 500 tonnes of ammunition. This is a serious challenge against the Turkish fleet that has been illegally escorting the Oruç Reis research vessel for over a month in search of gas and oil deposits in Greece’s continental shelf. An aircraft carrier is sailing against a fellow NATO member that has been threatening war with another NATO member.

Macron has already twice described NATO as “brain dead,” and NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg still displays disinterest in diffusing the Greek-Turkish hostilities.

At the same time, Moscow sold Turkey the S-400 missile defense system, which not only strengthened their relations, but also created discord in NATO, Russia still has deep differences with Ankara. This is not only over Syria and Libya, but also in Crimea as Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan increases his denunciations of Russia’s alleged persecution of Crimean Tartars. There is little actual substance between a Russian-Turkish geostrategic partnership that is more often than not in contradiction with each other’s ambitions.

Access through the Turkish-controlled straits is guaranteed by the 1936 Montreux Convention, giving Moscow some leverage in its relations with Turkey. If war broke out though, these straits would trap Russian shipping in the Black Sea. Russia has emphasized that the East Mediterranean issue must be resolved diplomatically and with international law. Turkey is one of 15 countries in the whole world who has not signed and ratified the United Nations Charter Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) as it would favor Greece’s claims in the oil and gas rich deposits in the Each Mediterranean. In this context, if Moscow was true to its word that it supports international law, this would automatically put it on side with Greece as Russia has no interest in escalating current hostilities into a war and temporarily lose access to a major trade route.

As Macron pushes for a Europe from Lisbon to Vladivostok, Russia could very well establish strong ties with France by cooperating in the East Mediterranean. This would put Russia in a security nexus that includes Greece, Cyprus, Egypt, Israel and the UAE, which is beginning to form a powerful bloc in the East Mediterranean. Depending on how Russia chooses to navigate through the current Greco-Turkish crisis could depend on how much Russian influence can be enhanced or weakened in light of the rapidly changing power balance in the region.