New York Quake Overdue (The Sixth Seal) (Revelation 6:12)

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Won-Young Kim, who runs the seismographic network for the Northeast at Columbia University’s Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, said the city is well overdue for a big earthquake.

The last big quake to hit New York City was a 5.3-magnitude tremor in 1884 that happened at sea in between Brooklyn and Sandy Hook. While no one was killed, buildings were damaged.

Kim said the city is likely to experience a big earthquake every 100 years or so.

“It can happen anytime soon,” Kim said. “We can expect it any minute, we just don’t know when and where.”

New York has never experienced a magnitude 6 or 7 earthquake, which are the most dangerous. But magnitude 5 quakes could topple brick buildings and chimneys.

Seismologist John Armbruster said a magnitude 5 quake that happened now would be more devastating than the one that happened in 1884.

Government Experts Claim Indian Nuclear Plant is Safe (Revelation 6:12)

No safety issue with gas pipeline near Indian Point, NRC says

April 16, 2020

BUCHANAN – An expert team of Nuclear Regulatory Commission staff and outside specialists has concluded the Indian Point nuclear power plant would remain safe should there be a potential accident on a 42-inch natural gas pipeline near the plant. 

The team’s report also recommends several follow-up actions, including that the plant owner, Entergy, revisits the assumptions it made in its analysis.

The team’s safety conclusion is based on two factors. First, the Algonquin Incremental Market pipeline has a very small chance of rupture near Indian Point, due to the pipeline’s modern construction, quality control and additional “high consequence” requirements for inspection and an integrity management program.

Second, Indian Point’s safety systems sit well outside the potential impact zones for postulated AIM pipeline accident effects such as heat, pressure, and projectiles.

The team’s analyses also determined that any pipeline-related increase in Indian Point’s risk fell below the NRC’s thresholds for prompting additional action. 

The team’s report was submitted in response to direction from Margaret Doane, the NRC’s executive director for Operations, following an NRC Inspector General report on the agency’s handling of public concerns about the pipeline issues.

The First Nuclear War Between India and Pakistan Will Lead to a Nuclear Winter

Study: a nuclear war between India and Pakistan could lead to a mini-nuclear winter – Vox

Kelsey Piper

October 9, 2019

Students in Mumbai rally against nuclear weapons on the anniversary of the world’s first wartime use of nuclear weapons at Hiroshima.

Himanshu Bhatt/NurPhoto via Getty Images

More than 90 percent of the world’s nuclear weapons are held by the United States and Russia. The world’s other nuclear powers — Britain, China, France, Israel, India, and Pakistan — are believed to maintain much smaller arsenals, probably 100 to 300 warheads each. But in the past few years, India and Pakistan are believed to have expanded their nuclear capabilities.

And that, argues a new paper, is a recipe for disaster. In the paper, “Rapidly expanding nuclear arsenals in Pakistan and India portend regional and global catastrophe,” published last week in Science Advances, Owen Toon of the University of Colorado and co-authors analyze the effects of a nuclear war between India and Pakistan in 2025, if both countries continue to expand their nuclear capabilities as they reportedly currently are. Unsurprisingly, the expanded capabilities would make a nuclear exchange between the two countries deadlier and more devastating.

Even if no other country in the world got involved, the effects would be worldwide and devastating. It’s a reminder that having countries with nuclear weapons is a frighteningly unstable situation. While most attention may focus on the US and Russia, any two nuclear-armed countries are more than sufficient for a global catastrophe.

“A war with 15-kt weapons,” — or about the explosive force of the weapons deployed against Hiroshima and Nagasaki — “could lead to fatalities approximately equal to those worldwide in WWII and a war with 100-kt weapons could directly kill about 2.5 times as many as died worldwide in WWII, and in this nuclear war, the fatalities could occur in a single week,” write the authors.

That reflects just the direct effects of a nuclear exchange between the two countries — that is, the deaths caused by being near the bombs when they went off.

The paper also looks at another source of effects: deaths caused indirectly by changes to the climate and atmosphere. Many atmospheric scientists have modeled the effects of nuclear exchanges, and believe that large-scale use of nuclear weaponry would cause ozone destruction and large climate changes, due to the release of dust and ash both by the nuclear explosions and by subsequent firestorms.

The authors estimate “surface sunlight will decline by 20 to 35%, cooling the global surface by 2° to 5°C and reducing precipitation by 15 to 30%, with larger regional impacts.” This would be disastrous, leading to famines across much of the world. They forecast that it’d take more than 10 years for the global climate to return to normal and that, in the meantime, millions more people would die of starvation.

It’s worth noting that the atmospheric science estimates in this paper aren’t settled science. Researchers have produced many different models of the effects of nuclear exchanges on the climate and atmosphere. There’s a lot of uncertainty about whether nuclear exchanges would cool the planet, and for how long the effects would linger. And the scenario that the researchers studied is one that analysts considered plausible, but not the only scenario for war or for atmospheric effects. It should be considered a good starting point, but far from certain.

Nonetheless, the model suggests in more detail what we already knew: Nuclear war between India and Pakistan would be very, very bad, and the prospect gets worse as the two countries acquire more and more sophisticated nuclear weapons.

Of course, India and Pakistan are very unlikely to get into a nuclear war. The same principle of mutually assured destruction that held the United States and the Soviet Union away from nuclear conflict, even during decades of bitter enmity, applies here too. Very few politicians would want to launch a suicidal strike.

But despite the principle of mutually assured destruction, the US and the USSR frequently came terrifyingly close to nuclear exchanges. During the Kennedy administration, the two countries almost plunged the world into nuclear holocaust during the Cuban Missile Crisis. In 1983, a Soviet early warning system reported incoming American missiles. Rather than reporting a strike and potentially prompting a nuclear retaliation, the officer on duty concluded (correctly) that it was a false alarm: The system had picked up the sun’s reflection on clouds and mistook it for missiles. What if someone else had been on duty?

When rival nations have large nuclear arsenals, mistakes or unintended escalations or stupid decisions by leaders can be catastrophic. That makes India and Pakistan’s increasing arsenals nerve-wracking, and it makes the far larger arsenals maintained by the United States and Russia an ongoing cause for concern.

Trump’s Ego And Ignorance Has Put Babylon The Great At A Disadvantage

Trump’s ego and ignorance has put U.S. at tactical disadvantage | Letter

By Express-Times Letters to the Editor

Posted Apr 17, 9:00 AM

President Donald Trump meets with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un at the border village of Panmunjom in the Demilitarized Zone, South Korea, June 30, 2019. AP

In the 1960s, as a staff sergeant in the U.S.Air Force Security Service with top secret codeword clearance, I was deployed to South Korea to electronically spy on North Korea and Chinese air defenses, intercepting and analyzing their Morse code transmissions.

President Trump says he’s not concerned with North Korean short/medium range missile testing. Apparently he doesn’t care that they’re pinpointing their accuracy and increasing their conventional warhead capacity. When they’re capable of taking out a U.S. aircraft carrier or submerged submarine from undetectable, portable launchers, they’ll alter the balance of power in the region. Our military intelligence was recently stunned by the accuracy and power of the Iran retaliatory missile attack on our forces in Iraq, and responded defensively in turn.

When Trump failed in his ill-advised, personal, de-nuclear negotiations with Kim Jong Un, he left our military with “war” as the only option when they resume nuclear testing.

Threatening “destruction like the world has never seen” (nuclear) also shows Trump doesn’t understand that nuclear weapons cannot be used offensively (as a first strike) because of their indiscriminate destruction. If they could, the Korean, Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan wars would’ve ended in days, not years. Nuclear weapons are basically bargaining chips in a real-life “Risk” board game.

U.S. intelligence personnel work endlessly and diligently to maintain a logistical advantage in conventional weapons. Trump thinks he knows more than our intelligence experts. Consequently he has severely disadvantaged our military strategists.

Hopefully Joe Biden will be elected and bring actual “intelligence” back into our leadership, replacing this egotism and ignorance.

Ron Pizarie

East Allen Township

A Glance at the Iranian Horn’s Mafia

Iran: A Glance at the Supreme Leader’s Mafia

17 April 2020

Iran’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei avoids spending his multi-billion-dollar assets to the benefit of society while poverty, recession, and unemployment, as well as the coronavirus’ consequences, have broken the people’s backs

By Pooya Stone

While the Iranian people are struggling against the novel coronavirus, the government seeks to achieve economic-political interests through this ominous health crisis.

In this regard, officials frequently claim that U.S. sanctions disturb the country’s operation to contain the virus. However, they have yet to elaborate on why they refrain from using the huge wealth of the supreme leader-dominated financial institutions and holdings?

In this regard, dissidents shed light on properties of several institutions like the Execution of Imam Khomeini’s Order (EIKO), Astan-e Quds Razavi, credit institutions of the Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) and the state security forces, Mostazafan Foundations, Endowment of Charity organization, Khatam al-Anbiya Construction Headquarters, Imam Khomeini’s Relief Foundation, and many IRGC front companies.

Source: Iran News Update website

Social media activists also blamed authorities for squandering the country’s asset for the interference in neighboring countries’ affairs, instead of providing necessary health and hygienic equipment and supplies for the people.

Subsequently, on April 7, Bahram Parsaei, a member of the Parliament (Majlis), reflected the society’s demand over the Khamenei-controlled institutions. “By using the National Reserve Fund and institutions that always enjoy special privileges and exemptions, like the Mostazafan Foundation, the EIKO, Astan-e Quds, Endowment organizations, all should serve the people for two months and offer their all assets,” Parsaei said in the Majlis session.

In this respect, Managing Director of Jomhuri Eslami daily Masih Mohajeri reiterated that the public should ask about the EIKO and Mostazafan Foundation.

A week later, on April 14, IRNA news agency announced, “’ Imam Hassan Mojtaba’ base has been founded by the cooperation of the IRGC, Basij paramilitary force, Mostazafan Foundation, Imam Khomeini’s Relief Foundation, EIKO, and Astan-e Quds to support 3.5 million needy families.”

However, the supreme leader could not ease the public ire against his economic empire. In this context, Khamenei sent his appointees like the head of EIKO Mohammad Mokhber to whitewash Khamenei’s plundering. However, he, in fact, confirmed what had been raised about Khamenei’s mind-blowing wealth instead of defending his leader.

On April 13, Mokhber was asked in an interview with the state-run Channel Six T.V. about EIKO’s asset. “Americans said, ‘To counter the coronavirus, there is no need that we lift the sanctions. Use the money of institutions like EIKO,” the interviewer said.

“This issue is related to prevention from our purchased items… They banned our medicines, they say that ‘medicine is not sanctioned; however, you cannot pay its price… I said that ‘they plot the devastation of the Islamic Revolution’s institutions,’” Mokhber said.

“They say that ‘there are billions of dollars in EIKO,’” the interviewer said.

“This is a joke; they make a [fiction] portray that there is no correlation between its services and assets when they decided to confront somebody,” Mokhber said, evading to declare the truth once again.

Immediately, he initiated to count several services that were provided by EIKO and giving hollow promises. However, no one of the institution’s services are tracked and seen. “[These accusations] mean confrontation with the people of Iran. Why [foes] constantly focus on the IRGC and organizations who factually serve the people, particularly in crises,” Mokhber concluded.

The Iranian government’s inconsistent non-transparency and claims raised many questions. For instance, the CEO of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD) Mark Dubowitz tweeted, “The regime in Iran wants $5B from the IMF but cannot find $4.8B of FX that should have been used for imports of essential goods. Which regime officials stole the money, and will they give it back?”

Dubowitz’s $4.8 billion figure was in reference to a clause in the settlement budget law complied by the Iranian Supreme Audit Court and read at the parliament session on April 14. The report prompted different officials to downplay the scandal and even Rouhani to trade barbs to push the chief auditor back.

Also, on April 14, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo explained that any financial assistance to Tehran will either go to be siphoned off for corruption or end up in the hands of the Lebanese Hezbollah, arms merchants and Shi’ite militia in the region. He also repeated the U.S. readiness for aiding Iran for containing the coronavirus, however, the ayatollahs immediately rejected the offer.

“We offered humanitarian assistance, real humanitarian assistance to the Iranian people, but we’re not about to send cash to the Ayatollahs. If our mission set is to save lives inside of Iran, to send a bunch of money to the Iranian regime won’t get that money to those people. It’ll be funneled, siphoned off; it’ll be used for corrupt purposes. And so that is the wrong approach to assistance inside of Iran,” Pompeo said.

He also blamed Khamenei and his appointees for costly foreign policies rather than improving the health care system of the country.

Additionally, from March 2018 to 2019, more than $4.820 billion had been distributed among individuals or entities for importing essential goods, according to the budget settlement law on April 14. The report that was read in the Majlis revealed that more than $2.706 billion was spent for importing dental floss, dog and cat food, dolls, toys, can lids, soil, and ice cream sticks.

The Central Bank of Iran (CBI) reported:

• Among 37 individuals or entities who had received more than $100 million, 32 cases imported nothing despite receiving $1.2 billion.

• Among 48 individuals or entities who had received between $50-$100 million, 31 persons or companies imported nothing despite receiving $856 million.

• From 358 individuals or entities who had received between $10-$50 million, 212 individuals and firms imported nothing despite receiving $1.237 billion.

A lawmaker from Etemad Melli [National Confidence] party Elias Hazrati blamed the method of governing by President Hassan Rouhani, saying, “I repeatedly said and called this administration as one without decisions, or with late decisions, or bad decisions. It prefers to pay the cost of triple fines. To hell with it – but it imposes this on the people.” Notably, Hazrati is a “reformist” and earlier announced, “We will support the administration until the end of its tenure.”

Iranians Continue to Die From Pestilence

As Iranian Deaths Pass 30,000, Mullahs Refuse To Lock Down To Save Lives

by Hassan Mahmoudi

April 18, 2020

In response to the outbreak of coronavirus, all countries have taken mid and long-term strategic measures to maintain the health and livelihood of their community. Actions were taken based on their assessment of changes in economic structures and social relations as the pandemic spread. But the situation in Iran is different.

The ruling Mullahs and the Iranian government have gone through the experience of anti-government uprisings in November 2019 and February 2020, strategic blows such as the death of Qassem Soleimani, the downing of a Ukrainian plane, along with severely weakened proxy forces. The mullahs clearly feel the prospect of economic disintegration and subsequent popular uprisings in Iran. They are well aware that in order to solve this problem, the budgets of the IRGC and its proxy forces must be cut off, and IRGC’s co-operative warehouses must be opened. The Imam’s Executive Headquarters Fund, which has $ 100 billion in reserve, must pay the price. But this is a red line for the supreme leader because to do so will mean denying its “raison d’être” and base. They also have the experience of the 8-year war with Iraq in the 1980s, during which regime sent 470,000 teenage and child students to the minefields by giving a fabricated white key to heaven in order to open the path for its tanks. And now Tehran is using all those experiences and tactics to maintain its grip on power, by taking the people out of the home quarantine and sending them to be massacred by exposing them to coronavirus so that it does not lead to fall of their regime.

Rouhani has presented a plan to reopen some activities and businesses in the next two weeks. Meanwhile, several regime lawmakers stressed the need to intensify social distancing and even announced an emergency bill to suspend all activities for a month. But the parliament’s emergency bill was rejected by pressure from high-ranking officials, paving the way for Khamenei’s and Rouhani’s plan. Government spokesman Rabiee defended the plan: “Currently, about 3.3 million of official employees are directly exposed to damages. More than 1.5 million of official and unofficial workshops were shut down. 4 million of contractual workers in the country are at risk of cessation or reduction of activity, wage reduction and dismissal. More than 12 million workers are employed in the service sector, and the initial effects of unemployment are evident in 10 sectors that were immediately shut down due to the outbreak of the disease.”

Iraj Haririchi, Iran’s Deputy Minister of Health, pointing to increased traffic in Tehran said: “Tehran could be the Achilles’ heel of Coronavirus control in Iran and could spread the disease to other parts of the province and country. “26.5 percent of coronavirus transmission is through public transport,” he said, adding that “necessary measures must be taken to reduce unnecessary traffic.”

As a result, there is sharp disagreement among regime officials; in fact, Rouhani is in confrontation with health experts and members of parliament who insisted on closing businesses and continuing to home quarantine people. Rouhani and Khamenei do not mention the danger of civil unrest and choose to run the country’s economy and business over public health. Their top priority is the survival of the Islamic Republic.

Rouhani says he is in contact with Khamenei by letter and that Khamenei supports his plans.

According to news reports, during a meeting in Saad Abad Palace last week Rouhani explained the country’s situation and provided justification for his actions. During the meeting, which was attended by senior members of the Revolutionary Guards, the army, security-economic institutions and the Minister of Health, Rouhani stressed the importance of sustaining economic security in the face of the coronavirus outbreak and examined the security-economic implications. He said, “If we close businesses and guilds, after some time we will face 30 million hungry people protesting on the streets” he added, “If this crisis happens, we will not be able to control it”. He clearly mentioned this crossroads of the Iranian people’s destiny,. Even if many people die, the government can not shot down the country. He added: “Government can not follow models like China’s”.

The World Health Organization (WHO) has again warned of the impending spread of this disease if the social distancing is not met. The UN Secretary-General prioritizes the protection of the most vulnerable and the least able to protect themselves. Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, director-general of WHO, said on Friday, April 10th that any haste in removing COVID-19 restrictions would lead to a “deadly return” of this virus.

Thus, Rouhani and Khamenei, as in the past 41 years, have shown that the lives of human beings are of no value to them and maintaining power the a priority. The founder of this regime, Khomeini, had instructed them that “in order to maintain the trust that is in your hands (the system of the Islamic Republic), it is obligatory on you to spy, lie and do forbidden things.”

As a result, the fundamental question regarding the prospect of Iran’s future is whether we will soon see a general outburst of anger and popular uprising that no force will be able to control and suppress.