India vs. Pakistan: The First Nuclear War (Revelation 8)

India vs. Pakistan: Who Wins in a War (And How Many Millions Could Die)?

For its part, the Indian army plans to immediately take the offensive under a doctrine called “ Cold Start .” Cold Start envisions rapid mobilization followed by a major offensive into Pakistan before the country can respond with tactical nuclear weapons. Such an offensive—and Pakistan’s likely conventional defeat—could make the use of tactical nuclear weapons all the more likely .

The Indian subcontinent is home to two of the largest armies on Earth. Not only are the armies of India and Pakistan both larger in personnel than the U.S. Army, but they have stood at alert facing one another since the dissolution of the British Indian Army in 1947. The two armies have clashed four times in the past seventy years, and may yet do so again in the future.

(This first appeared in 2017 and is being reposted due to breaking events.)

The Indian army is the primary land force of the Indian armed forces. The army numbers 1.2 million active duty personnel and 990,000 reservists, for a total force strength of 2.1 million. The army’s primary tasks are guarding the borders with Pakistan and China and domestic security—particularly in Kashmir and the Northeast. The army is also a frequent contributor to United Nations peacekeeping missions abroad.

The army is structured into fourteen army corps, which are further made up of forty infantry, armored, mountain and RAPID (mechanized infantry) divisions. There is approximately one separate artillery brigade per corps, five separate armored brigades, seven infantry brigades and five brigade-sized air defense formations.

Infantry and mountain divisions are mostly assigned to the mountainous North and Northeast regions, where manpower intensive counterinsurgency and mountain warfare forces are important, while infantry, RAPID, and armored formations sit on the border opposite Pakistan. Perhaps unusually the Indian army has only one airborne unit, the Parachute Regiment, which is actually an umbrella headquarters for army airborne and special forces. The Parachute Regiment controls seven special-forces battalions and three airborne brigades.

The army is equipped from a number of sources, primarily Russia and a growing domestic arms industry, with increasing amounts of Israeli and American weaponry. More than 4,000 tanks equip the country’s ninety-seven armored regiments (the equivalent of American battalions), including 2,400 older T-72 tanks, 1,600 T-90 tanks, and approximately 360 Arjun Mk.1 and Mk.2 tanks. Complementing the T-72/90 tanks in armored and mechanized infantry formations are BMP-2 mechanized infantry combat vehicles.

Most of the Indian Army’s 4,000 artillery pieces are from Russia, including newer 300-millimeter Smerch multiple launch rocket systems, but the country appears to be turning away from Russian field artillery towards American towed M777 and South Korean K-9 Thunder self-propelled howitzers. A new howitzer, the Dhanush, appears close to widespread adoption. Air defense artillery, on the other hand, is dominated by Russian equipment, from battlefield Tunguska self-propelled anti-aircraft guns to S-400 “Triumf” high-altitude air-defense missiles.

The Pakistani army numbers 650,000 active duty personnel and five hundred thousand reserves, for a total strength of 1.15 million. Although Pakistan resides in what most would consider a rough neighborhood, it is on relatively good terms with neighbors China and Iran. As a result, the army’s primary missions are domestic security operations against the Pakistani Taliban and facing off against the Indian army. Like India, Pakistan is a major contributor of forces to United Nations peacekeeping missions.

The Pakistani army consists of twenty-six combat divisions falling under the control of nine army corps. Most divisions are infantry divisions, with only two armored and two mechanized infantry divisions. Each corps also controls an average of one armored, one infantry and one artillery brigade each. Not only is the Pakistani army smaller than the Indian army, but it features fewer offensive forces capable of attacking India head-on. Special operations forces are concentrated under the control of the Special Services Group, which controls eight commando battalions.

The army’s equipment is mostly Pakistani and Chinese, with Turkish and American armaments in key areas. The country has fewer than seven hundred frontline tanks, including the Khalid and the T-80UD, with another one thousand modernized versions of the 1970s-era Chinese Type 59. Pakistan lacks a modern infantry fighting vehicle, relying on more than two thousand upgraded M113 tracked armored personnel carriers.

Pakistan has nearly two thousand artillery pieces, primarily Chinese and American, but they are older models with little in terms of acquisitions in sight. Standouts among these are roughly 250 M109A5 155-millimeter self-propelled howitzers and two hundred A-100E 300-millimeter multiple launch rocket systems—similar to India’s Smerch. One standout category where Pakistani weapons outmatch Indian ones is the area of attack helicopters, where the country fields fifty-one older AH-1S Cobra attack helicopters with another fifteen AH-1Z Vipers on order.

If the two countries went to war, a major clash between the two armies would be inevitable. Outnumbered and under-equipped, the Pakistani army believes it is in a position to launch small local offensives from the outset, before the Indian army can reach its jumping-off points, to occupy favorable terrain. Still, the disparity in forces means the Pakistanis cannot hope to launch a major, war-winning offensive and terminate a ground war on their own terms. As a result, the Pakistani army is increasingly relying on tactical nuclear weapons to aid their conventional forces.

For its part, the Indian army plans to immediately take the offensive under a doctrine called “ Cold Start .” Cold Start envisions rapid mobilization followed by a major offensive into Pakistan before the country can respond with tactical nuclear weapons. Such an offensive—and Pakistan’s likely conventional defeat—could make the use of tactical nuclear weapons all the more likely.

The adversarial relationship between India and Pakistan makes the Indian subcontinent one of the most dangerous places on Earth. The disparity in forces, war plans on both sides, and the presence of tactical nuclear weapons makes a regional nuclear war—even a limited one—a real possibility.

Kyle Mizokami is a defense and national-security writer based in San Francisco who has appeared in the Diplomat, Foreign Policy, War is Boring and the Daily Beast. In 2009 he cofounded the defense and security blog Japan Security Watch. You can follow him on Twitter: @KyleMizokami.

Everything in the Sea Shall Die (Revelation 16:3)

RUSSIA WARNING: Putin’s deadly NUCLEAR TORPEDO able to create POISONOUS TSUNAMI 500m high

Russia is planning to build dozens of unmanned nuclear torpedoes (Image: GETTY, TASS)

RUSSIA is preparing sea trials for a fearsome nuclear torpedo capable of creating poisonous tsunamis 500 metres high.

By TOM NELLIST

PUBLISHED: 10:00, Sat, Feb 16, 2019

UPDATED: 16:08, Sat, Feb 16, 2019

Nicknamed ‘Poseidon’, the unmanned underwater vehicle (UUV) can deliver a thermonuclear cobalt bomb of up to 200 megatons, according to Russian state media. Detonation of such a bomb could be enough to create a tsunami wave 500 metres tall and poison miles of coastline. The source told Russian news agency TASS Moscow is waiting until the summer to begin the tests when waters will be warmer.

The unnamed source said: “The successful tests of Poseidon’s nuclear-powered energy unit opened the way to conducting at-sea factory tests of the vehicle.

“The tests will begin in favourable weather conditions this summer.”

America’s CIA has given the Russian torpedo the codename “Kanyon” and moved to brush away fears over its capability, saying it will not change the status quo as Russia already has missiles capable of striking US cities

However the autonomous underwater missile can operate at a maximum depth of one kilometre making it immune to air defence systems and raising fears it could be used without warning.

The Poseidon torpedo can travel at speeds of more than 120mph, or 107 knots per hour, and is powered by nuclear energy.

By comparison, regular nuclear armed submarines only travel 32 knots and normal torpedoes can fire at speeds of just 48 knots.

The nuclear bomb can travel at phenomenal speed compared to regular submarines and torpedoes (Image: TASS, Getty)

The nuclear torpedo is also powered by nuclear energy (Image: TASS, Getty)

The UUV’s power unit has already been tested at sea, according to a Russian defence industry source who said the trials took place in December.

That reactor has been attached to the hull of the operating vehicle to provide the torpedo with its phenomenal thrust.

The source said: “During the at-sea trials of the unmanned vehicle’s power unit, the previously declared specifications of its unlimited range of use and speed of over 200 kmph were confirmed.”

The torpedo’s power unit completed sea-trials successfully in December (Image: TASS)

TASS also reported a source as saying the torpedo will be carried by two submarines which are expected to enter service with the Russian Navy’s Northern Fleet.

Two further Poseidon armed submarines will join Russia’s Pacific Fleet.

Each of the submarines are believed to be able to carry a maximum of eight of the underwater nuclear drones meaning the total number of Poseidon torpedoes could total 32.

Iran Threatens Saudi Horn (Daniel 8:4)


TEHRAN, Feb. 16 (Xinhua) — The chief commander of Iran’s Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) said Saturday that Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) “support terrorist acts inside Iran.”

Saudi Arabia and the UAE would face “retaliatory measures” for their supports to terrorist acts inside Iran, Mohammad Ali Jafari was quoted as saying by IRGC website.

Iran will no longer tolerate the “conspiracies” of Saudi Arabia and the UAE in this regard, Jafari said.

The IRGC commander made the remarks in a reference to the Wednesday terrorist attack against the Iranian security forces in the southeast of the country in which 27 IRGC forces were killed and 13 others were injured.

Earlier, top Iranian officials blamed foreign intelligence agencies for the deadly terrorist attack on the Iranian security guards. Enditem

Brace Yourselves for the Sixth Seal (Revelation 6)

Brace Yourselves, New Yorkers, You’re Due for a Major Quake

A couple of hundred thousand years ago, an M 7.2 earthquake shook what is now New Hampshire. Just a few thousand years ago, an M 7.5 quake ruptured just off the coast of Massachusetts. And then there’s New York.

Since the first western settlers arrived there, the state has witnessed 200 quakes of magnitude 2.0 or greater, making it the third most seismically active state east of the Mississippi (Tennessee and South Carolina are ranked numbers one and two, respectively). About once a century, New York has also experienced an M 5.0 quake capable of doing real damage.

The most recent one near New York City occurred in August of 1884. Centered off Long Island’s Rockaway Beach, it was felt over 70,000 square miles. It also opened enormous crevices near the Brooklyn reservoir and knocked down chimneys and cracked walls in Pennsylvania and Connecticut. Police on the Brooklyn Bridge said it swayed “as if struck by a hurricane” and worried the bridge’s towers would collapse. Meanwhile, residents throughout New York and New Jersey reported sounds that varied from explosions to loud rumblings, sometimes to comic effect. At the funeral of Lewis Ingler, a small group of mourners were watching as the priest began to pray. The quake cracked an enormous mirror behind the casket and knocked off a display of flowers that had been resting on top of it. When it began to shake the casket’s silver handles, the mourners decided the unholy return of Lewis Ingler was more than they could take and began flinging themselves out windows and doors.

Not all stories were so light. Two people died during the quake, both allegedly of fright. Out at sea, the captain of the brig Alice felt a heavy lurch that threw him and his crew, followed by a shaking that lasted nearly a minute. He was certain he had hit a wreck and was taking on water.

A day after the quake, the editors of The New York Times sought to allay readers’ fear. The quake, they said, was an unexpected fluke never to be repeated and not worth anyone’s attention: “History and the researches of scientific men indicate that great seismic disturbances occur only within geographical limits that are now well defined,” they wrote in an editorial. “The northeastern portion of the United States . . . is not within those limits.” The editors then went on to scoff at the histrionics displayed by New York residents when confronted by the quake: “They do not stop to reason or to recall the fact that earthquakes here are harmless phenomena. They only know that the solid earth, to whose immovability they have always turned with confidence when everything else seemed transitory, uncertain, and deceptive, is trembling and in motion, and the tremor ceases long before their disturbed minds become tranquil.”

That’s the kind of thing that drives Columbia’s Heather Savage nuts.

New York, she says, is positively vivisected by faults. Most of them fall into two groups—those running northeast and those running northwest. Combined they create a brittle grid underlying much of Manhattan.

Across town, Charles Merguerian has been studying these faults the old‐fashioned way: by getting down and dirty underground. He’s spent the past forty years sloshing through some of the city’s muckiest places: basements and foundations, sewers and tunnels, sometimes as deep as 750 feet belowground. His tools down there consist primarily of a pair of muck boots, a bright blue hard hat, and a pickax. In public presentations, he claims he is also ably abetted by an assistant hamster named Hammie, who maintains his own website, which includes, among other things, photos of the rodent taking down Godzilla.

That’s just one example why, if you were going to cast a sitcom starring two geophysicists, you’d want Savage and Merguerian to play the leading roles. Merguerian is as eccentric and flamboyant as Savage is earnest and understated. In his press materials, the former promises to arrive at lectures “fully clothed.” Photos of his “lab” depict a dingy porta‐john in an abandoned subway tunnel. He actively maintains an archive of vintage Chinese fireworks labels at least as extensive as his list of publications, and his professional website includes a discography of blues tunes particularly suitable for earthquakes. He calls female science writers “sweetheart” and somehow manages to do so in a way that kind of makes them like it (although they remain nevertheless somewhat embarrassed to admit it).

It’s Merguerian’s boots‐on‐the‐ground approach that has provided much of the information we need to understand just what’s going on underneath Gotham. By his count, Merguerian has walked the entire island of Manhattan: every street, every alley. He’s been in most of the tunnels there, too. His favorite one by far is the newest water tunnel in western Queens. Over the course of 150 days, Merguerian mapped all five miles of it. And that mapping has done much to inform what we know about seismicity in New York.

Gang Bangers Prepare for War with Iran

Zarif: Same ‘gang’ from 2003 Iraq war pushing for war with Iran

The same “gang” behind the 2003 Iraq war are pushing for war with Iran, the Islamic Republic’s Foreign Minister said in an exclusive interview with NBC News on Friday.

“I’m not saying President Trump’s administration, I’m saying people in President Trump’s administration are trying to create the same eventuality and I believe they will fail,” Mohammad Javad Zarif said.

Zarif accused the United States of having a “pathological obsession” with Iran while warning it would be “suicidal” for Washington and its allies to start a war with his country.  

“People will find out that it’s suicidal to engage in a war with Iran,” he said, adding that he hoped some “sense would prevail”.

The Iranian Foreign Minister also commented on the Warsaw summit earlier this week, where the US, Israel and Arab states focused on countering Iran’s regional behavior, which they consider “aggressive”.

The meeting was a “huge failure”, Zarif said, because it showed how “totally, totally isolated in the world” the U.S. has become over Iran.

Although most of the participants in the Warsaw summit regard aspects of Iran’s foreign policy troubling, such as the country’s ballistic missile program, a deep rift remains over the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran.

US President Donald Trump withdrew from the 2015 deal in May last year and reimposed sanctions on Iran.

Germany, France and Britain, which are all signatories to the 2015 nuclear deal, remain committed to saving the accord.

Janek SKARZYNSKI (AFP)

US Vice President Mike Pence took direct aim at allies Britain, France and Germany, at the Warsaw summit, denouncing their new initiative to let European companies operate in Iran in defiance of unilateral US sanctions.

“It’s an ill-advised step that will only strengthen Iran, weaken the EU and creates still more distance between Europe and the United States,” he said.

“The time has come for our European partners to withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal and join with us,” he said.

Zarif dismissed the possibility of renegotiating a nuclear deal with the US after it withdrew from the 2015 deal, saying it was a complex and comprehensive deal.

“The nuclear deal was the result of 13 years of negotiations. We produced not the two-page document that President Trump signed with the chairman of North Korea but a 150-page document,” Zarif said.

Janek SKARZYNSKI (AFP)

The appeal by Pence for Europeans to withdraw from the Iranian nuclear deal and isolate Tehran was rejected by Germany and the EU on Friday.

Foreign Minister Heiko Maas defended the 2015 agreement under which Iran drastically scaled back its nuclear programme in return for sanctions relief.

EU diplomatic chief Federica Mogherini said the bloc was determined to preserve the “full implementation” of the deal, saying it was vital to European security.

“Together with the Brits, French and the entire EU we have found ways to keep Iran in the nuclear agreement until today,” Maas told the Munich Security Conference.

Maas said that “our goal remains an Iran without nuclear weapons, precisely because we see clearly how Iran is destabilizing the region”.

Twenty Palestinians Wounded Outside the Temple Walls (Revelation 11)

Twenty Palestinians, Israeli Officer Wounded in Clashes Along Gaza Border

Gazans came out to demonstrate in 47th Friday protest in a row ■ Israeli Border Officer lightly wounded from shrapnel after explosive device was thrown at him

Jack KhouryAlmog Ben Zikri

15.02.2019 |

Twenty Palestinians were wounded Friday by live fire in clashes with Israeli forces along the Gaza border, the Gaza Health Ministry reported, while Israel Police said a Border Police officer was lightly wounded in the leg from shrapnel after an explosive device was thrown at him.

The Palestinian Red Crescent cited 109 wounded protesters, of which 16 hit by live fire and two by rubber bullets.

Friday’s demonstration was the 47th in a row since the weekly protests began in March. The Israeli army said 11,000 Palestinians came out to protest, with some throwing stones, grenades and other explosives at soldiers. One Palestinian was arrested for trying to cross the border in northern Gaza.

In recent weeks, several thousands of Palestinians participated in the protests and a few dozens have been wounded every week.

According to data in a United Nations report released last month and confirmed by Israeli security officials, 295 Palestinians were killed and about 6,000 wounded by live ammunition since the demonstrations’ inception.

Last week two teenagers, aged 14 and 18, were killed and seven other Palestinians wounded by live fire during protests at the fence, according to the Gaza Health Ministry. The 14-year-old was named as Hassan Shalabi, the son of a niece of Ismail Haniyeh, the political chief of Hamas.

Earlier that week, the Health Ministry said that Ahmed Abu Jabal, 30, succumbed to bullet wounds sustained on the Gaza border the previous week.