2018: The Year of the Sixth Seal (Revelation 6:12)

Sloshing of Earth’s core may spike major earthquakes

By Paul VoosenOct. 30, 2017 , 1:45 PM

The number of major earthquakes, like the magnitude-7 one that devastated Haiti in 2010, seems to be correlated with minute fluctuations in day length.

SEATTLE—The world doesn’t stop spinning. But every so often, it slows down. For decades, scientists have charted tiny fluctuations in the length of Earth’s day: Gain a millisecond here, lose a millisecond there. Last week at the annual meeting of the Geological Society of America here, two geophysicists argued that these minute changes could be enough to influence the timing of major earthquakes—and potentially help forecast them.

During the past 100 years, Earth’s slowdowns have correlated surprisingly well with periods with a global increase in magnitude-7 and larger earthquakes, according to Roger Bilham of the University of Colorado (CU) in Boulder and Rebecca Bendick at the University of Montana in Missoula. Usefully, the spike, which adds two to five more quakes than typical, happens well after the slow-down begins. “The Earth offers us a 5-years heads up on future earthquakes, which is remarkable,” says Bilham, who presented the work.

Most seismologists agree that earthquake prediction is a minefield. And so far, Bilham and Bendick have only fuzzy, hard-to-test ideas about what might cause the pattern they found. But the finding is too provocative to ignore, other researchers say. “The correlation they’ve found is remarkable, and deserves investigation,” says Peter Molnar, a geologist also at CU.

The research started as a search for synchrony in earthquake timing. Individual oscillators, be they fireflies, heart muscles, or metronomes, can end up vibrating in synchrony as a result of some kind of cross-talk—or some common influence. To Bendick, it didn’t seem a far jump to consider the faults that cause earthquakes, with their cyclical buildup of strain and violent discharge, as “really noisy, really crummy oscillators,” she says. She and Bilham dove into the data, using the only complete earthquake catalog for the past 100 years: magnitude-7 and larger earthquakes.

In work published in August in Geophysical Research Letters they reported two patterns: First, major quakes appeared to cluster in time

—although not in space. And second, the number of large earthquakes seemed to peak at 32-year intervals. The earthquakes could be somehow talking to each other, or an external force could be nudging the earth into rupture.

Exploring such global forces, the researchers eventually discovered the match with the length of day. Although weather patterns such as El Nino can drive day length to vary back and forth by a millisecond over a year or more, a periodic, decades-long fluctuation of several milliseconds—in particular, its point of peak slow down about every three decades or so—lined up with the quake trend perfectly. “Of course that seems sort of crazy,” Bendick says. But maybe it isn’t. When day length changes over decades, Earth’s magnetic field also develops a temporary ripple. Researchers think slight changes in the flow of the molten iron of the outer core may be responsible for both effects. Just what happens is uncertain—perhaps a bit of the molten outer core sticks to the mantle above. That might change the flow of the liquid metal, altering the magnetic field, and transfer enough momentum between the mantle and the core to affect day length.

Seismologists aren’t used to thinking about the planet’s core, buried 2900 kilometers beneath the crust where quakes happen. But they should, Bilham said during his talk here. The core is “quite close to us. It’s closer than New York from here,” he said.

At the equator, Earth spins 460 meters per second. Given this high velocity, it’s not absurd to think that a slight mismatch in speed between the solid crust and mantle and the liquid core could translate into a force somehow nudging quakes into synchrony, Molnar says. Of course, he adds, “It might be nonsense.” But the evidence for some kind of link is compelling, says geophysicist Michael Manga of the University of California, Berkeley. “I’ve worked on earthquakes triggered by seasonal variation, melting snow. His correlation is much better than what I’m used to seeing.”

One way or another, says James Dolan, a geologist at the University of Southern California in Los Angeles, “we’re going to know in 5 years.” That’s because Earth’s rotation began a periodic slow-down 4-plus years ago. Beginning next year, Earth should expect five more major earthquakes a year than average—between 17 to 20 quakes, compared with the anomalously low four so far this year. If the pattern holds, it will put a new spin on earthquake forecasting.


The Australian Nuclear Horn (Daniel 7:7)

Time for Australia to Build Nuclear Submarines?

by Peter Briggs

Australia’s rapidly deteriorating strategic circumstances have caused me to review my earlier stance on the navy’s  future submarine requirements  and the case for  nuclear propulsion .

As Hugh White  wrote in response to Paul Dibb and Richard Brabin-Smith’s  2017 paper  on strategic risk in a new era:

If we decide that Australia should be able independently to resist a direct attack from a major Asian power like China, then we need to start building the forces to do that right now, not wait for some further warning sign.

The time has come for early consideration of all aspects of a  transition to nuclear propulsion  for Australia’s submarines based on compelling strategic and submarine capability arguments.

While acknowledging the strategic and operational advantages that a nuclear-powered submarine force would provide, it must be recognized that there would be some formidable challenges to overcome to add such a force to the RAN.

Quite apart from the political sensitivity of such a decision, it would be a protracted process requiring a lead time of 15 to 20 years, driven largely by the technical, training and educational preparations and a very significant increase in qualified personnel required to operate and maintain the force.

The current program to acquire 12 conventional future submarines (FSMs) is an essential starting point for a successful transition which will take significant time and a national focus to achieve. The RAN must first achieve the critical mass of submarine personnel and be able to sustain the manpower required for this challenging transition.

Attempting a transition before the Australian submarine arm has achieved sufficient size in platforms and personnel risks a capability gap even if there are no delays during the transition.

In the face of a deteriorating strategic outlook, the consequent need to transition to nuclear submarines (SSNs) expeditiously and the reality that growth of the submarine arm via FSM is essential to starting that transition, that program must be accelerated, with a national priority allocated for funds, personnel and a fast track for facilities.

A force of modern SSNs offers significant sea denial and force projection capabilities, providing at least twice the number of more capable submarines deployed at long range compared with an equivalent number of conventional submarines, assuring the ability to sustain a high level of deterrence and operational capability. A fleet of 12 double-crewed SSNs would allow four submarines to be on task at long range and constitute a formidable deterrent force. Such a fleet would also facilitate a rolling construction program.

A force of at least 10 nuclear submarines with 10 crews is the minimum required to maintain a critical mass of trained personnel and to generate the experience needed to man the senior supervisory and policy staff needed for a globally credible nuclear safety organization.

A force of at least 12 conventional future submarines, each with a crew of at least 60 and a total submarine arm of at least 2,100, is judged to be a conservative, safe and viable starting point for a transition to a force of 10 SSNs.

The options for Australia to develop an SSN capability would be limited to building the boats offshore or to consolidating the vessels in Australia incorporating a reactor purchased offshore. Leasing SSNs is not a practical option.

A supporting nuclear power industry is desirable as it would provide Australia with a broader regulatory, technical and educational base. However, provided the costs of not having that support are clearly identified, the absence of an Australian nuclear power industry should not preclude a transition to nuclear propulsion for Australia’s submarines.

The timing of any transition should be one the study’s findings. Two timelines may serve to illustrate the long lead times required:

– The initiation of a training program to prepare the policymakers and senior technical management personnel will be necessary six to eight years prior to ordering the first SSN.

– Over 250 experienced RAN submariners (approximately 12% of the submarine arm operating 12 FSMs) would enter nuclear education and training pipelines approximately eight years prior to the commissioning of the first SSN.

Given the lead time, unfolding strategic situation and benefits of nuclear propulsion, an immediate decision is recommended to commit to a feasibility study into a transition to nuclear propulsion to be delivered by 2020. It’s time we understood the benefits, costs, risk and timescales of this option fully.

And finally, a reminder for cabinet’s national security committee. We need to accelerate the FSM project, with national priority for resources without reducing  the sovereignty of our new subs . It would also be a good idea to stock up on the high-tech/costly/long-lead-time weapons to go in those torpedo tubes.

Netenyahu Tramples Outside the Temple Walls (Revelation 11:2)

JERUSALEM, Israel – Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu promised „painful blows“ against Hamas if the terrorist organization controlling Gaza doesn’t stop its violent protests. The threat comes after seven months of violent riots along Israel’s southern border.

Netanyahu said Israel may choose a different way to confront Hamas’s violence.

„We are close to a different kind of action. Action which will include very painful blows, if Hamas is smart, it will cease its fire and violent outbursts – now,“ Netanyahu said at the start of the weekly cabinet meeting.

Hamas-led riots began on March 30th.  IDF spokesman Jonathan Conricus told CBN News Hamas plans different events for different days. On Monday it’s the beach.

IDF  Spokesman Lt. Col. Jonathan Conricus, Photo, CBN News

„Mondays are always the naval riots when they embark from the Gaza harbor trying to reach into Israeli waters,“ Conricus said. „There are also riots along the beach and of course lots of media activity to try to join these two things together.“

Friday is the weekly main event, „Where an average of about 18,000 rioters gather in six different locations trying to violently get across into Israel becoming more and more violent.  We see a clear escalation in violence in the weapons that they use,“ he said.

„Last Friday [in] the most violent attempt, IEDs [improvised explosive devices] were placed by Palestinians along the fence and that blew a hole in the fence through which 20 or so Palestinians got in and they tried to assault an IDF position. At that time Israeli soldiers fired in self-defense after they fired warning shots and made sure that those rioters were not able to get to their position,“ he explained.

„We see that Hamas is actively pushing Palestinians toward the fence, really escalating the level of violence and trying to get Palestinians killed on the fence,“ he added.

Michael Oren addressed the Gaza situation with Christian journalists from around the world.

Deputy Minister of Diplomacy MK Michael Oren, Photo, CBN News, Jonathan Goff

„The demonstrator is the new missile,“ Oren said. „In some cases, it’s [a] better missile because it’s multi-usage. And they get the picture. They get the picture of innocent kids killed by Israel, which causes the same type of damage. It erodes our national legitimacy.“

Earlier CBN News got a firsthand look at what Israeli soldiers have faced for more than half a year.

„It’s not legitimate and  [it’s not]  civilian riots,“ an IDF commander, whose name is withheld for security reasons, explained.

„The leaders of the riots are  [members of]  Hamas, and they are trying to challenge us,“ he said.

Hamas has also flown hundreds of arson balloons into Israel that burned thousands of acres of Israeli farmland.

Incendiary balloons launched by Hamas destroyed set wheat fields on fire, Photo, CBN News, Jonathan Goff

The goal of Hamas is to infiltrate into Israeli border communities to attack Israeli civilians. Conricus says there’s a limit to what Israel can tolerate.

„It should be very clear to our enemy that there is a limit to the amount of violence that can be tolerated, to the amount of terror that can be inflicted on Israeli civilians. And of course the IDF has the tools and the capabilities to defend against those,“ Cornricus said.

The Iranian Nuclear Threat (Daniel 8:4)

Why the Iranian Threat Goes Far Beyond Nuclear Weapons

Prior to the Islamic Revolution that swept Iran in 1979, the status of Shiite Muslims in the Arab world (about 20 percent of all Muslims) was that of inferiors. In many countries like Libya, Iraq and Saudi Arabia, they would be executed without trial. In other countries, Shiites were forbidden to build mosques because, in the eyes of Sunni Muslim majority, they were heretics.

The rise of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khomeini was a watershed. He promised that the Shiites in the Arab world would no longer be oppressed. Indeed, since the revolution in Iran, the status of the Shiites in the Arab world has not only strengthened, in some places they have become the oppressors. Today, the Iranians and their proxies have full control over four Arab states: Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Yemen. And they threaten to seize even more countries.

In fact, Iranian efforts and attempts to undermine the stability of the Arab states have not ceased in recent years. Iran sees itself as a regional power and has adopted a strategy aimed at extending that power across the entirety of the Middle East. And it is succeeding. Two benefits of this extended power is the ability by Iran to protect the Shiite minority in Arab countries and to strike Israel indirectly. The Iranian octopus today operates both openly and covertly in any number of Arab countries as it exports the Shiite revolution to the rest of the Islamic world.

Thanks to Russian and Iranian involvement, Bashar Assad remained in power in Damascus. Iran wants to benefit from its investment in Syria. Today, it is setting up religious centers in Syria to persuade the Syrians to accept the Shiite religion, thereby bringing tens of thousands of Syrians into the Shiite fold, while will later enable Iran to establish even more Shiite militias to do its bidding.

In Iraq, the collapse of Saddam Hussein’s regime and the withdrawal of American forces from the country gave Iran a rare opportunity to expand its influence there. Iranian involvement in this country is centered around financing, training, and arming the Shiite militias al-Hashad al-Shaabi (the Iraqi Hezbollah). This political, economic and religious involvement effectively makes Iraq an Iranian protectorate.

The Iranians support and assist the Houthis and through them control much of Yemen, from where they can bomb their arch-enemies, the Saudis. Shiite Iran and Sunni Saudi Arabia have a long-running rivalry centered on the age-old Muslim dispute regarding who was to succeed the Prophet Mohammed. It is from this dispute that the Shiite and Sunni streams of Islam evolved.

Iran established Hezbollah in Lebanon and equipped it through Syria with the most advanced weaponry. Some of the weapons were bombed by Israel in Syria even before their arrival in Lebanon. Iran has turned the Shiite community in Lebanon into a highly-organized fighting force that threatens the Lebanese army and the stability of Lebanon. Today, Iran is a major player in Lebanon.

Iranian is also very active in the Persian Gulf. The Islamic Republic has already occupied the islands of Greater Tunb and Lesser Tunb, as well as Abu Musa Island, all which the United Arab Emirates regarded as belonging to them. This takeover demonstrated to the Arab states and their leaders the danger posed by Iran. Despite the support of the Arab League, no solution to this ongoing Iranian occupation has yet been found.

Iran also operates in Bahrain and neighboring Oman, and is investing greatly in expanding its influence in both kingdoms. In fact, Iran often claims to „own“ Bahrain, that it is a „province“ of the Islamic Republic. The Shiite majority in the Kingdom of Bahrain gives Iran legitimacy to make such claims, while the government there accuses Iran of subversion.

Iran supports the establishment of a Palestinian state on the ruins of the State of Israel. The Iranians openly say that they want to destroy the State of Israel, and back up those words with material support for local terrorist groups like Hamas and Islamic Jihad. This also enables Iran to brainwash the local Sunni Palestinian Muslims with Shiite ideology, along with a healthy dose of hatred for Israel and the Jews.

Even without a nuclear bomb, Iran is busy destabilizing the rest of the Middle East, making itself no less an enemy of the Arabs than it is of Israel. For this reason it is incumbent upon the US and European Union to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons. Because if it is able to sow so much discord without the bomb, imagine what it can accomplish with nukes in hand?

Airstrikes Outside the Temple Walls (Revelation 11:2)

An Israeli warplane carried out an airstrike on Tuesday, targeting a group of Palestinians east of Beit Hanoun, in the southern Gaza Strip.

Airstrikes over Gaza Continue

October 16, 2018 8:08 PM IMEMC News & Agencies Gaza Strip, Israeli attacks, News Report

A Ma’an reporter said that an Israeli warplane fired one missile towards a group of Palestinian youth in northern Gaza; no injuries were reported.

The Israeli army said that a warplane targeted a group of Palestinians who were launching flaming kites into southern Israel.

Meanwhile, locals reported that Israeli military bulldozers entered dozens of meters into south of Gaza City, razing and leveling lands.

Four Israeli bulldozers reportedly entered near the return camps, while drones flew overhead.

Israeli military incursions inside the besieged Gaza Strip and near the “buffer zone,” which lies on both land and sea sides of Gaza, have long been a near-daily occurrence.

(archive photo image)

Antichrist calls on Kurds to abandon ‘quotas‘

Leader of Iraq’s Sadrist Movement, Muqtada Al-Sadr [Twitter]

Iraq’s Sadr calls on Kurds to abandon ‘quotas’

October 16, 2018 at 11:21 am

The leader of Iraq’s Sadrist Movement Muqtada Al-Sadr yesterday called on Kurdish leaders to keep all “corrupt” people away from the state’s senior positions.

Since the overthrow of the former Iraqi president Saddam Hussein in 2003, Sunnis, Shias and Kurds have been sharing senior positions in the state under the so-called “quota” system.

“We want you to live with us without separation,” Al-Sadr wrote on Twitter, addressing Kurdish politicians. “This is the highest meaning of love to be together in a unified Iraq,” he added.

READ: Iraqi Kurds vote in parliamentary polls Sunday

“We know that among you are some who love moderation and do not differentiate between a Kurd or an Arab except with piety and patriotism,” he continued, calling on the Kurds to “save Iraq and leave the quota and all the corrupt, and renew the covenant for Iraq with new faces who would preserve the country’s prestige, raise its status and cherish its people.”

Al-Sadr’s message comes two days after his similar letter to Sunni Iraqis urging them “to provide public interests and to rely on the competent technocrats to lead the country in the next stage.” He also advised them to stay away from “treachery of treason and corruption deals”.

Iraq is among the world’s most corrupt countries, according to the Transparency International Index, over the past years.

Corruption is one of Iraq’s main challenges. According to the UK-based International Centre for Development Studies, $120 billion simply disappeared during the term of office of former Prime Minister Nouri Al-Maliki.