A Lack Of Vigilance Before The Sixth Seal (Revelation 6)

http://dmna.ny.gov/home/storyimages/NYSfaultsnoearthquakesforNG.jpgFaults Underlying Exercise Vigilant Guard

Story by: (Author NameStaff Sgt. Raymond Drumsta – 138th Public Affairs Detachment

Dated: Thu, Nov 5, 2009

This map illustrates the earthquake fault lines in Western New York. An earthquake in the region is a likely event, says University of Buffalo Professor Dr. Robert Jacobi.


TONAWANDA, NY — An earthquake in western New York, the scenario that Exercise Vigilant Guard is built around, is not that far-fetched, according to University of Buffalo geology professor Dr. Robert Jacobi.

When asked about earthquakes in the area, Jacobi pulls out a computer-generated state map, cross-hatched with diagonal lines representing geological faults.

The faults show that past earthquakes in the state were not random, and could occur again on the same fault systems, he said.

“In western New York, 6.5 magnitude earthquakes are possible,” he said.

This possibility underlies Exercise Vigilant Guard, a joint training opportunity for National Guard and emergency response organizations to build relationships with local, state, regional and federal partners against a variety of different homeland security threats including natural disasters and potential terrorist attacks.

The exercise was based on an earthquake scenario, and a rubble pile at the Spaulding Fibre site here was used to simulate a collapsed building. The scenario was chosen as a result of extensive consultations with the earthquake experts at the University of Buffalo’s Multidisciplinary Center for Earthquake Engineering Research (MCEER), said Brig. Gen. Mike Swezey, commander of 53rd Troop Command, who visited the site on Monday.

Earthquakes of up to 7 magnitude have occurred in the Northeastern part of the continent, and this scenario was calibrated on the magnitude 5.9 earthquake which occurred in Saguenay, Quebec in 1988, said Jacobi and Professor Andre Filiatrault, MCEER director.

“A 5.9 magnitude earthquake in this area is not an unrealistic scenario,” said Filiatrault.

Closer to home, a 1.9 magnitude earthquake occurred about 2.5 miles from the Spaulding Fibre site within the last decade, Jacobi said. He and other earthquake experts impaneled by the Atomic Energy Control Board of Canada in 1997 found that there’s a 40 percent chance of 6.5 magnitude earthquake occurring along the Clareden-Linden fault system, which lies about halfway between Buffalo and Rochester, Jacobi added.

Jacobi and Filiatrault said the soft soil of western New York, especially in part of downtown Buffalo, would amplify tremors, causing more damage.

“It’s like jello in a bowl,” said Jacobi.

The area’s old infrastructure is vulnerable because it was built without reinforcing steel, said Filiatrault. Damage to industrial areas could release hazardous materials, he added.

“You’ll have significant damage,” Filiatrault said.

Exercise Vigilant Guard involved an earthquake’s aftermath, including infrastructure damage, injuries, deaths, displaced citizens and hazardous material incidents. All this week, more than 1,300 National Guard troops and hundreds of local and regional emergency response professionals have been training at several sites in western New York to respond these types of incidents.

Jacobi called Exercise Vigilant Guard “important and illuminating.”

“I’m proud of the National Guard for organizing and carrying out such an excellent exercise,” he said.

Training concluded Thursday.

New Iraqi Voters are Supporting the Antichrist

Young Iraqis have reason to be disillusioned with politics. Instead, many are backing a new generation of leaders.

GlobalPost

May 10, 2018 · 10:00 AM EDT

Iraqi men work on the campaign posters of candidates ahead of May’s parliamentary election, in Baghdad, Iraq, April 14, 2018.

Credit:

Khalid Al-Mousily/Reuters

Despite growing up as the daughter of Iraq’s former prime minister and earning an international relations degree from a prestigious British university, Sarah Ayad Allawi feels many of the same political frustrations as other 29-year-olds in Iraq.

Allawi wanted to run as a legislative candidate of the National Accord political party, the party of her father Ayad Allawi, interim prime minister from 2004 to 2005, in the elections Saturday. But a minimum age of 30 disqualified her for entering the race. The rule serves as check on the political power of the young, she says.

Only 20 of the 328 Iraqi lawmakers are under the age of 40. They are the voice for an underrepresented demographic, representing only 6 percent of the parliament in a country where the median age is 19.

“You can be certain that I will be 30 by the time this next parliament has its first session,” she said.

‘Ready to pick new faces’

Iraqis in Allawi’s generation grew up knowing mainly conflict and limited economic opportunities. Now they are getting a chance to change their wounded country. They are part of a new and growing wave of political activism in the wake of a militant threat against activists stretching back to 2003, when the US invaded Iraq.

Young voters say they are getting involved because they are ready for a change.

“The Iraqi people are ready to pick new faces,” said first-time voter Mohammed Saleh, 22, a computer engineering student in Baghdad. “The youth especially are tired of the corrupt politicians.”

The May 12 parliamentary race is the fourth since the beginning of the US occupation and the first since Iraqi forces drove ISIS out of major cities like Tikrit and Mosul last year. Iraqi officials say 24 million out of its population of 39 million are eligible to vote. Among them are 4.5 million Iraqis who will cast ballots for the first time.

“From what I see and hear from youth on the ground and in social media, I think there is a real chance for change,” said Saleh, who supports Sa’iroon, an electoral alliance between supporters of the 44-year-old influential and independent Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr and the secular Iraqi Communist Party.

The unlikely alliance between Iraq’s communists and conservative Shiite activists has a history.

The two groups worked together to overthrow King Faisal II in 1958 and coalesced again in 2016 to lead protests in Baghdad’s Tahrir Square demanding Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi deliver on his anti-corruption promises.

In this round of elections, the odd pairing is united in shared disgust over poor-quality services, education, healthcare and public security due to corruption.

Employees of the Iraqi Independent High Electoral Commission inspect voting materials at a warehouse in Basra, Iraq, May 3, 2018.

Credit:

Essam al-Sudani/Reuters

Transparency International ranks Iraq near the bottom of its global corruption index at 169 out of 180. Many blame government corruption for the collapse of the Iraqi army in the face of ISIS militants’ capture of Mosul, Tikrit and other territory in 2014.

The army’s failure led to the rise of self-protection forces like al-Fateh, a hybrid militia and political party whose Shiite Muslim ideology resembles that of Lebanon’s Hezbollah.

Al-Fateh is also looking to create a new, younger generation of Iraqi leaders.

Hadi al-Amiri, 63, the Iranian-trained head of the military wing of the Supreme Islamic Iraqi Council political party, runs al-Fateh. He is supporting several candidates under 40. Many served in the militia last year in the fight against ISIS.

One al-Fateh candidate, Mohanned al-Temimi, 37, posted an online video claiming that his visit to China as a wholesale apparel broker gave him a solid background in global affairs while his service to the al-Fateh militia proves his readiness to fight for Iraq’s national interests.

‘A catastrophe on our hands’

Not all Iraqis plan to vote. Political violence has led some young people to say they’ll stay home. Others are too disillusioned with politics to offer candidates their support.

“I will not vote because the entire system is corrupt,” said Yassir Adnan, 22, a medical student, in Karbala. “Our constitution is not humanistic. It contains many discriminating clauses based on religious and ethnic identity and age.”

In Kirkuk, Salah al-Kanaan, a 35-year-old computer operator at a refinery company, said he understands the reasoning behind calls to boycott the election but worries that Iraq’s sectarian deadlock will continue if too many young people refrain from voting or choose to vote for parties based on their religious affiliations.

“Youth, especially those participating for the first time, will decide who wins,” Kanaan said. “If they choose carefully, things could be great. If not, we will have a catastrophe on our hands.”

Young Iraqis have demographic leverage, and they should use it to run as candidates and shape policy, said Ali Bashar, 31, a youth organizer and international relations professor at Bayan University in Irbil.

“Today, youth represent the key to electoral victory,” said Bashar, one of the founders of the Nineveh Political Youth Forum, a new education and advocacy movement which tried to develop talent in communities in order to field candidates, and has made efforts to get out the youth vote.

“All parties and political blocs are making an effort to recruit this demographic they believe they need to gain power in parliament.”

Engineer Mohammed Abbas, 36, is one such recruit. He participated in a December session of Bashar’s political youth forum and is now running as a candidate with Abadi’s Victory Alliance in the upcoming election.

“Just because a candidate is young does not mean he is better,” Abbas said. “I hope people vote for me based on my record of community service and my professional qualifications as an engineer to advocate and guide our country’s reconstruction program.”

Gilgamesh Nabeel reported from Istanbul. Jacob Wirtschafter reported from Cairo.

Another Shake Before the Sixth Seal (Revelation 6:12)

Report: New York City is overdue for a major earthquake

If a 5.0 Earthquake were to hit New York City, there could be $39 billion dollars worth of damage and 30 million tons of rubble… and experts say the city is overdue, according to the Daily Mail. Veuer’s Sam Berman has the full story.

Buzz60

At least one person in the Rochester area reporting feeling the second small earthquake to strike under Lake Ontario in the last week.

The latest temblor, which had a magnitude of 2.4,  occurred shortly before 5:30 p.m. Tuesday. It was 6.2 miles below the surface.

The epicenter was about 7 ½ miles out from the Canadian shore of the lake, roughly 23 miles east-southeast of downtown Toronto and 75 miles west-northwest of the Charlotte pier in Rochester.

Tuesday’s quake comes just four days after a 1.5-magnitude temblor was detected under the lake about 22 miles north of the Ontario-Williamson town line in Wayne County. That quake struck just before 4 a.m. Friday and occurred about 3¼ miles below the surface.

No one reported feeling that tremor, which was much too small to do damage.

But social media lit up Tuesday evening with surprised statements by people in metropolitan Toronto who felt the Earth shudder, and the U.S. Geological Survey received 20 reports from people who sensed the quake.

One report came from someone in the Victor, Ontario County, area. Another came from someone in Buffalo, a third from someone in Oceanside, Nassau County and a fourth, somewhat improbably, from a person in Columbus, Ohio. The other 16 were from residents of Ontario, Canada.

The Geological Survey releases only the location of respondents, not names.

Why one person in Victor would feel the tremor at a distance of 90 miles isn’t clear. Generally, smaller quakes tend to be felt by relatively few. People who are indoors on an upper floor and who are in a quiet environment with few distractions are most likely to sense such a quake, experts say.

According to the non-linear math of earthquake science, Tuesday’s tremor was eight times bigger than the one last week, and released 22 times more energy. At magnitude 2.4, it was near the threshold where property damage is possible. None was reported.

Small earthquakes of this nature are common in New York and eastern Ontario. Nine temblors have been measured so far this year in New York. Tuesday’s was the first in Ontario, according to a list maintained by the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory.

SORR@Gannett.com

Iran Prepares to Spin Uranium Again (Daniel 8:4)

Iran can restart uranium enrichment ‘without any limitations’: Rouhani

9 May 2018 — 7:24am

Tehran:President Hassan Rouhani warned on Tuesday that Iran could restart enriching uranium “without any limitations” within weeks, after President Donald Trump pulled America out of the nuclear deal, though he said world powers still in the accord could potentially save the pact.

Rouhani’s speech, broadcast live on state television within minutes of Trump’s announcement, marked a doubling-down for the cleric who has seen his signature foreign policy achievement threatened by Trump for years.

Iran nuclear deal: Global response to US withdrawal

World leaders respond to President Trump’s move to reimpose economic sanctions on Iran while pulling the United States out of the international agreement aimed at stopping Tehran from obtaining a nuclear bomb.

Trump’s announcement from the White House marked potentially the worst-case scenario for the relative moderate, as the country’s economy continues to reel despite the deal and may further worsen.

Stressing that the accord remained a “multilateral” one, and not just with the US, Rouhani said he’d be sending Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif to the countries still in the deal – China, France, Germany, Russia and the United Kingdom.

Iran hopes the European Union will pass laws to protect European firms from any potential US sanctions. EU officials have suggested they’ll do what they can to salvage the agreement.

Still, Rouhani made a point of stressing that Iran, at any time, could resume its nuclear program.

“So if necessary, we can begin our industrial enrichment without any limitations,” the Iranian leader said. “Until implementation of this decision, we will wait for some weeks and will talk with our friends and allies and other signatories of the nuclear deal, who signed it and who will remain loyal to it. Everything depends on our national interests.”

A worker rides a bike in front of the reactor building of the Bushehr nuclear power plant, just outside the southern city of Bushehr, Iran.

Photo: AP

During the live broadcast, Rouhani also made a point of reeling off examples of American meddling in Iran, including the 1953 coup that deposed its elected prime minister and the US Navy shooting down of an Iranian commercial airliner in 1988.

Iranian state television did not broadcast Trump’s announcement live, but carried his remarks in a crawl at the bottom of the screen and later recounted some of them.

Earlier on Tuesday, Rouhani had stressed that Iran wants to keep “working with the world and (pursue) constructive engagement with the world.” That appeared to be a nod to Europe, which has struck a series of business deals with Iran since signing the landmark 2015 nuclear accord.

Trump and the United States also came under fire from Iran’s first vice president, Eshaq Jahangiri, a popular reformist politician who has been suggested as a possible presidential contender in Iran’s 2021 election.

“Today, the biggest power in the world is yelling that it does not accept” the deal, Jahangiri said, according to the semi-official ISNA news agency.

Only “naive individuals would accept to enter talks with such a country,” he added. “We are ready and have a plan for managing … under any circumstance.”

Jahangiri’s comments suggest a potential political turn against any rapprochement with the West in response to the Trump pullout, especially as he is a reformist – a politician who advocates for change to Iran’s theocratic government. It also comes as Trump is set to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un later this year, where negotiations will undoubtedly include talks about that country’s atomic weapons program.

Iran’s 2015 nuclear deal imposed restrictions on the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program in return for the lifting of most of the US and international sanctions against Tehran.

Iran nuclear deal: Global response to US withdrawal

World leaders respond to President Trump’s move to reimpose economic sanctions on Iran while pulling the United States out of the international agreement aimed at stopping Tehran from obtaining a nuclear bomb.

However, the deal came with time limits and did not address Iran’s ballistic missile program or its regional policies in Syria and elsewhere. Trump has repeatedly pointed to those omissions in referring to the accord as the “worst deal ever.” However, proponents have said those time limits were meant to encourage more discussion with Iran in the future that could eventually address other concerns.

Many in Tehran and elsewhere in the country are worried about what Trump’s decision could mean for Iran.

Already, the Iranian rial is trading on the black market at 66,000 to the dollar, despite a government-set rate of 42,000 rials. And many say they have not seen any benefits from the nuclear deal.

Iran’s poor economy and unemployment sparked nationwide protests in December and January that saw at least 25 people killed and, reportedly, nearly 5000 arrested.

Still some hard-line Iranian politicians welcomed the US pullout.

“The US pullout from the deal is the best achievement for Iran since it shows the real face of the US,” said hard-line lawmaker Ahmad Alirzabeigi. “We should not rely on the U.S., nor on Europe.”

“We will face hard sanctions following the US pullout, but they will not remain in place since the global community needs Iran,” added another hard-line lawmaker, Jabbar Kouchakinejad.

Saudi Arabia Prepares to Go Nuclear (Daniel 7:7)

Saudi Arabia set to pursue nuclear weapons if Iran restarts program

Washington (CNN)Saudi Arabia’s foreign minister told CNN on Wednesday that his country stands ready to build nuclear weapons if Iran restarts its atomic weapons program.

Asked what his country will do if Iran restarts its nuclear program, Adel Al-Jubeir told CNN’s Wolf Blitzer that “we will do whatever it takes to protect our people. We have made it very clear that if Iran acquires a nuclear capability we will do everything we can to do the same.”

Asked to clarify whether that means the kingdom will work to acquire its own nuclear capability, al-Jubeir said, “That’s what we mean.” He also praised President Donald Trump’s announcement Tuesday that the US was quitting the Iran nuclear deal.

“We believe the nuclear deal was flawed,” al-Jubeir said, criticizing portions of the agreement that expire and the fact that its scope is limited to nuclear issues. “We believe the deal does not deal with Iran’s ballistic missile program nor does it deal with Iran’s support for terrorism.”

While Trump’s decision has pleased allies in Israel and Persian Gulf countries like Saudi Arabia, it pits the US against its closest European allies, leaves the future of Tehran’s nuclear ambitions in question and raises the prospects of a regional arms race.

“As long as Iran was constrained and closely inspected, the Saudis could afford to put off their nuclear ambitions,” Mark Fitzpatrick, executive director of the American branch of the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said on Tuesday.

“Now their calculations change. … Trump’s rejection of the diplomatic solution to the Iran nuclear crisis undermines multilateral diplomacy and the very underpinnings of the nuclear order. It gives a new writ to nuclear lawlessness, since Iran’s having abided by the agreed rules will be proven to have been in vain.”

Energy-rich Saudi Arabia, a fierce regional foe of Iran’s, is already seeking US help in starting a nuclear program of its own, giving rise to concerns that it might be trying to compete with Iran’s nuclear program and create its own nuclear weapons program.

The White House has been pursuing a deal to sell nuclear reactors to Riyadh despite the kingdom’s reluctance to accept stringent restrictions against nuclear proliferation, including uranium enrichment.

Under its new crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman, the kingdom has begun pursuing a markedly more aggressive foreign policy designed in large part to counter Tehran, and has quietly aligned itself more closely with Israel.

Bin Salman has developed close relations with the Trump White House, courting the President’s son-in-law and adviser, Jared Kushner, in particular.

During a visit to Washington, bin Salman told CBS that it wanted the program for peaceful purposes, despite its reluctance to accept constraints on uranium enrichment, a step in the production of nuclear weapons.

“Saudi Arabia does not want to acquire any nuclear bomb, but without a doubt, if Iran developed a nuclear bomb, we will follow suit as soon as possible,” bin Salman said.