Syrian Crisis May End in Nuclear War
June 29, 2016 Written By: Sajjad Shaukat
If remained unresolved, Syrian crisis may end in nuclear war between Russia and the US.
Since September 30, 2015, the Russian-led coalition of Iran, Iraq, the Syrian army-the National Defense Forces (NDF) and Lebanon-based Hezbollah have broken the backbone of the US-CIA-Mossad assisted ISIS terrorists, Al-Qaeda’s Al-Nusra Front and the rebels who have been fighting to oust the Syrian President Assad’s regime and against the current Iraqi regime as part of America’s double game to secure the Israeli illegitimate interests in the Middle East.
Russian-led combatants have destroyed the strongholds, supply lines and installations of the US-led entities. These demoralized militants have fled most of the areas in Syria and Iraq, which have been recaptured by the NDF and Iraqi military. After strengthening the Assad regime, Moscow withdrew most of the Russian forces from Syria.
It is worth-mentioning that terror attacks in Paris and Brussels including shooting at the Orlando Pulse night club were attributed to the ISIS, based in Syria, as this outfit also claimed responsibility for these terror assaults. However, before these acts of terrorism, security and intelligence agencies of Europe and America were issuing warnings which were manipulated especially by the Israeli Mossad and as part of America’s double game.
After the terror attacks in Paris and Brussels, European leaders and their media created anti-Muslim phenomenon—exaggeration of Islamophobia, coupled with other developments such as expulsion of Muslims, particularly Syrian refugees from Europe, anti-Islam movement etc. Besides, in order to revive the global war on terror, the neo-conservatives, Zionists and Israel also needed the backing of the whole Europe against the Russian-led coalition.
It is notable that in the meantime, in March, this year, Syrian fighters with the support of popular volunteer combatants liberated more towns from the ISIS militants’ control like the Thayyem Oil Field, especially the ancient city of Palmyra, and may recapture the group’s self-proclaimed caliphate-capital in Raqqa.
In accordance with the US dual strategy, Syrian rebel groups on April 12, 2016 launched a major offensive the ISIS positions in Syria’s Aleppo province. So as to show to the international community and Western public that the US is fighting against the ISIS terrorists, America has accelerated air strikes on the ISIS-controlled regions.
As per CIA directions, in Aleppo city, shell and mortar attacks by the Al-Nusra Front, ISIS and the rebel groups have continued on the Kurdish neighborhood of Sheikh Maqsoud. ISIS has also continued firing rockets across the border into the Turkish town of Kilis. In the pretext, the Turkish military is retaliating with shell fire.
It shows that the US and Israel have created a very complicated situation in Syria and in the vulnerable countries of the Middle East including Turkey by making a vicious circle of terrorism; so that American-Israeli covert aims in Syria could be justified, which could also get the favour of the Western countries which are already biased against Assad’s government.
It is mentionable that the US-led West, especially Europe has already started a new Cold War with Russia. The US has decided to station permanently additional troops in Eastern Europe as part of NATO move to defend the continent against the presumed threat of Moscow. In response, Moscow also responded that it would send 30,000 Russian troops along its western and southern borders.
Although Cold War has revived between the US-led West and Russia, yet some recent developments have further disheartened the Zionist-Israeli-led America.
At the same time, Kerry changed American previous stance to keep Assad in power and warned Syria’s government on May 3, 2016 that they face an “August 1 deadline for starting a political transition to move President Assad out, or they risk the consequences of a new US approach toward ending the 5-year-old civil war.”
The US and Israel think that before Syrian forces-backed by Russia occupy more territories, especially Aleppo which is strategically important and is industrial capital of Syria, rebel groups and ISIS should be given a free hand to continue fighting.
In case, Republican presidential nominee Donald J. Trump becomes the US president, he will continue anti-Muslim policies to complete the unfinished agenda of Israel, as he has been directly or indirectly favouring Israeli policies, particularly against the Palestinians.
Trump manipulated the terror attacks in Paris and Brussels including shooting at the night club of Orlando to get the sympathies of a majority of the ordinary Americans and those of Europe, who do not have much time to go into depth-analysis and have been misguided by his emotional speeches, statements and false hopes.
After the shooting at the gay night club in Florida, He also criticized the US President Obama to resign, slamming him for having “disgracefully refused to even say the words “Radical Islam.” Calling on Clinton to get out of the general election race for the same reason, Trump said, “Because our leaders are weak, I said this was going to happen…we cannot afford.”
Trump again remarked that he would decrease immigration from the Middle East because “since 9/11, hundreds of migrants and their children have been implicated in terrorism in the United States.” He, once again, asked for the ban of any Muslims, entering the US. On June 19, 2016, during his interview with the CBC News, he called for racial “profiling of Muslims inside the United States to combat terrorism.”
In fact, the more Donald Trump speaks against the Muslims and the more he exaggerates Islamophobia, the more popularity he will get among the people who have been impressed by his stereotypes.
Trump promised to restore American prestige and to make America great again. Donald Trump seems to further strengthen the alliance between the US and the West, particularly Europe against Russia.
Meanwhile, on June 24, 2016, Britain has voted to leave the EU, compelling the British Prime Minister David Cameron to resign. UK itself could now break apart, with the leader of Scotland, where nearly two-thirds of voters wanted to stay in the EU, saying a new referendum on independence from the rest of Britain was highly likely.
President Barack Obama who was insisting upon London to keep aligned with the EU is trying to limit the fallout from Britain’s separation from the EU, which “threatens to harm the U.S. economic recovery and distract U.S. allies from global security issues”, as he said on June 24. 2016. On the same day, Donald Trump stated, British voters just shattered political convention in a stunning repudiation of the ruling establishment in a referendum…in November, the American people will have the chance to re-declare their independence.
Americans will have a chance to vote for trade, immigration and foreign policies that put our citizens first…people want to see borders. They don’t necessarily want people pouring into their country that they don’t know who they are and where they come from.”
Analysts have pointed out the political and economic implications of Britain’s separation from the EU, saying that some more countries could leave the EU, as there are also differences among the member states on the question of immigrant-laws and refugees.
But, political experts did no talk about expulsion of the Muslims, Syrian refugees, ISIS, European home-grown terrorists, as in the recent past, these analysts were metioning amounting threat by these entities.
However, now UK will fortify its political and economic relations with America to compete with the EU. If, EU member countries leave supporting American war in Syria, Britain will continue assisting Washington in this respect. Similarly, in case, the EU countries which are struggling to maintain the European Union reduce their support to America against Russia. Anglo-American military alliance could be made by superseding NATO, as noted during the invasion of Iraq in 2003.
That US-British coalition would accelerate Syrian war to thwart the Russian efforts for the political solution of the Syrian crisis, as both these countries want to overthrow President Assad’s government to obtain the goals of Tel Aviv. Nevertheless, this drastic situation may culminate into nuclear war between Russia and the US-British alliance.
It is noteworthy that after the World War II, nuclear weapons were never used, and were only employed as a strategic threat. During the heightened days of the Cold War, many crises arose in Suez Canal, Korea, Cuba and Vietnam when the US and the former Soviet Union were willing to use atomic weapons, but they stopped because of the fear of nuclear war which could result into political suicide of both the super powers. Therefore, the two rivals preferred to resolve their differences through diplomacy.
Political strategists agree that principle of deterrence also known as ‘balance of terror’ is a psychological concept which aims to affect an opponent’s perceptions. In nuclear deterrence, weapons are less usable, as their threat is enough in deterring an enemy who intends to use its armed might.
A renowned scholar, Hotzendorf remarks that nuclear force best serves the interests of a state when it deters an attack.
Notably, on July 31, 2006, the US declassified documents revealed, “During the past year, the Bush White House was seriously considering a nuclear option against Iranian nuclear sites understandably…these scenarios are not without historical precedent.
From time to time during the Cold War and after, American officials tried to find ways of making nuclear weapons usable, not only for deterrence against Soviet attack but as tactical weapons in local conflicts…recently declassified documents reveal that during Richard M. Nixon’s first year as president, advisers on his White House staff were willing to revisit the question of whether to employ nuclear weapons in Vietnam.”
A complete study of the declassified documents show that President Nixon’s national security adviser Henry Kissinger who believes in power or use of force including nuclear threat for bringing the adversary to favourable bargaining, had advised Nixon to use atomic weapons or its threat to compel North Vietnam and its Soviet allies to conclude peace on America’s terms.
In this context, Huntington’s book, “The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order” which points out “the clash of civilizations” as the “battle lines of the future…the next world war” also mentions (In one way or the other) that any fault-line war could involve the major powers.
Nonetheless, the theory of balance of terror cannot be applied Syria in wake of skirmishes. Besides, non state actors like the ISIS could also exploit the situation with could result into atomic war. Most probably, Israel which is determined to avoid even two-state solution of the Israeli-Palestinian issue could avail the vicious circle of terrorism by taking advantage of the complicated situation of Syria through Mossad or ISIS.
Especially, America’s anti-Muslim and pro-Israeli Donald Trump’s success in the forthcoming presidential election is now predictable. If, he becomes American president, his lack of pragmatism—emotional, rational and rigid policies could cause atomic war, especially between Russia and the US, because he will continue American intervention in Syria and other Islamic countries like Libya.
It is also of particular attention that military and strategic experts have also been warning about a war between the US and Russia in wake of eastward expansion of the NATO In this regard, the Pravda disclosed on June 28, 2016, “The NATO has increased its presence in Eastern Europe 13 times for the latest years.
In order to stop Russia’s revival, the US unwinds military conflicts plots at every possible way…Colonel General Leonid Ivashov, President of the International Centre of Geopolitical Analysis explained in an interview to KP [Komsomolskaya Pravda]…if data on Russia-NATO power balance at the Western direction is analyzed, as well as military activity build-up rate at our borders, scale of combat equipment deployment, one can say that preparation to a real war is taking place…the Americans do everything possible today to clash Europe and Turkey with Russia and ignite a big military conflict. The problem from the US point of view is that Russia becomes not only a self-sustained state, but a global geopolitical player.”
Returning to our earlier discussion, the unsettled Syrian crisis may end in nuclear war between Russia and the US.