The Next Big ONE: The Sixth Seal Of New York City

ON THE MAP; Exploring the Fault Where the Next Big One May Be Waiting

Ramapo Fault Line

By MARGO NASH
Published: March 25, 2001
 
Alexander Gates, a geology professor at Rutgers-Newark, is co-author of ”The Encyclopedia of Earthquakes and Volcanoes,” which will be published by Facts on File in July. He has been leading a four-year effort to remap an area known as the Sloatsburg Quadrangle, a 5-by-7-mile tract near Mahwah that crosses into New York State. The Ramapo Fault, which runs through it, was responsible for a big earthquake in 1884, and Dr. Gates warns that a recurrence is overdue. He recently talked about his findings.

Q. What have you found?

A. We’re basically looking at a lot more rock, and we’re looking at the fracturing and jointing in the bedrock and putting it on the maps. Any break in the rock is a fracture. If it has movement, then it’s a fault. There are a lot of faults that are offshoots of the Ramapo. Basically when there are faults, it means you had an earthquake that made it. So there was a lot of earthquake activity to produce these features. We are basically not in a period of earthquake activity along the Ramapo Fault now, but we can see that about six or seven times in history, about 250 million years ago, it had major earthquake activity. And because it’s such a fundamental zone of weakness, anytime anything happens, the Ramapo Fault goes.

Q. Where is the Ramapo Fault?

A. The fault line is in western New Jersey and goes through a good chunk of the state, all the way down to Flemington. It goes right along where they put in the new 287. It continues northeast across the Hudson River right under the Indian Point power plant up into Westchester County. There are a lot of earthquakes rumbling around it every year, but not a big one for a while.

Q. Did you find anything that surprised you?

A. I found a lot of faults, splays that offshoot from the Ramapo that go 5 to 10 miles away from the fault. I have looked at the Ramapo Fault in other places too. I have seen splays 5 to 10 miles up into the Hudson Highlands. And you can see them right along the roadsides on 287. There’s been a lot of damage to those rocks, and obviously it was produced by fault activities. All of these faults have earthquake potential.

Q. Describe the 1884 earthquake.

A. It was in the northern part of the state near the Sloatsburg area. They didn’t have precise ways of describing the location then. There was lots of damage. Chimneys toppled over. But in 1884, it was a farming community, and there were not many people to be injured. Nobody appears to have written an account of the numbers who were injured.

Q. What lessons we can learn from previous earthquakes?

A. In 1960, the city of Agadir in Morocco had a 6.2 earthquake that killed 12,000 people, a third of the population, and injured a third more. I think it was because the city was unprepared.There had been an earthquake in the area 200 years before. But people discounted the possibility of a recurrence. Here in New Jersey, we should not make the same mistake. We should not forget that we had a 5.4 earthquake 117 years ago. The recurrence interval for an earthquake of that magnitude is every 50 years, and we are overdue. The Agadir was a 6.2, and a 5.4 to a 6.2 isn’t that big a jump.

Q. What are the dangers of a quake that size?

A. When you’re in a flat area in a wooden house it’s obviously not as dangerous, although it could cut off a gas line that could explode. There’s a real problem with infrastructure that is crumbling, like the bridges with crumbling cement. There’s a real danger we could wind up with our water supplies and electricity cut off if a sizable earthquake goes off. The best thing is to have regular upkeep and keep up new building codes. The new buildings will be O.K. But there is a sense of complacency.

MARGO NASH

North Korea Threatens South And US (Daniel 7)

N. Korea threatens pre-emptive nuclear strike on South, US

North_Korea__new-m_3588555b
Yahoo News

North Korea threatened “indiscriminate” nuclear strikes against South Korea and the US mainland if the two allies push ahead with joint military drills scheduled to begin Monday.
The threat to carry out what it described as a “pre-emptive nuclear strike of justice” was made in a statement by the North’s powerful National Defence Commission, citing the Supreme Command of the Korean People’s Army (KPA).
It came just days after leader Kim Jong-Un ordered the country’s nuclear arsenal to be placed on standby for use “at any moment,” in response to tough new UN sanctions imposed over the North’s fourth nuclear test in January and last month’s long-range rocket launch.
Pyongyang has issued dire warnings of nuclear attack in the past, usually during periods of elevated military tensions of the Korean peninsula.
While the North is known to have a small stockpile of nuclear warheads, experts are divided about its ability to mount them on a working missile delivery system.
The national Defence Commission described the annual South Korea-US military exercises as “undisguised nuclear war drills” that threatened the North’s national sovereignty, and vowed an all-out offensive in response.
“The indiscriminate nuclear strike… will clearly show those keen on aggression and war, the military mettle of (North Korea),” said the statement published by the North’s official KCNA news agency.
Any strike would not just target operational theatres on the Korean peninsula, but also US bases on the mainland and in the rest of the Asia-Pacific region.
“If we push the buttons to annihilate the enemies even right now, all bases of provocations will be reduced to seas in flames and ashes in a moment,” it added.
The annual exercises slated to begin Monday — called “Foal Eagle” and “Key Resolve” last for weeks and involve tens of thousands of US and South Korean troops.

Pyongyang has long condemned the drills as provocative rehearsals for invasion, while Seoul and Washington insist they are purely defensive in nature.

Antichrist Sends A Clear Warning To The World

Iraq’s Sadr didn’t storm the Green Zone, but sent a clear message

Mobilising tens of thousands of supporters in Baghdad’s Tahrir Square chanting his name and waving the Iraqi flag, Muqtada al-Sadr recently returned to the public spotlight.
After years of relative quiet, his grand reappearance underpins future political ambitions. Sadr’s potential role is worth analysing in detail as he is a powerful Shia leader who both challenges Iranian influence and appears to pursue a nationalist policy that seeks to overcome the deep sectarian trenches Iraq is suffering from.
However, his aims remain difficult to fathom as his history is dynamic and he represents a hybrid of anti-establishment positions while being part of the establishment himself.
After the US invasion of 2003, Sadr’s Mahdi army fought a bloody war against the Americans, Sunni militias and elements of the Iraqi state, such as the Iranian-backed Badr militias who had become part of the Iraqi Security Forces.
The civil war reached its peak in 2006 and so did the Mahdi army’s violence. It became infamous for its cruelty and discredeted the whole Sadrist movement. The sectarian-focused violence highlighted the Sunni-Shia divide that laid the foundation for the rising of what would later be called the Islamic State (IS). Under pressure, Sadr disbanded the Mahdi army but the structures remained. His retreat did not mean he or his political movement has been inactive in recent years.

From troublemaker to reformer?

Especially since 2011, there has been a shift in his rhetoric. Sadr has emphasised social justice as well as good governance and promoted the idea of national unity. A Shia leader himself, he challenged former prime minister Nouri al-Maliki’s pro-Shia political course and sympathised with Sunni demonstrations that flared up at the end of 2012 in several cities. After IS took over large areas of Iraq in 2014, Sadr called for the reformation of his militia.
To distance the former Mahdi army from its violent past, he renamed it Saraya al-Salam, the Peace Companies.
The Peace Companies are part of the Popular Mobilisation Units, an umbrella of Shia militias that was formed in 2014 to confront IS.
Unlike other militias under Iranian control which send fighters to support the regime of President Bashar al-Assad in Syria, Sadr endeavours to highlight the Peace Companies’ independence in general and from Tehran in particular. Yet, Shia militias that are active in Syria can often be connected to the Mahdi army – such as Kataib Hezbollah that emerged as a Mahdi army successor.
Contrary to the past, however, the Peace Companies fight together with the Iraqi Security Forces and do not separate themselves from Sunnis in general. Sadr’s father and founder of the Sadrist movement, Grand Ayatollah Mohammed Mohammed Sadiq al-Sadr, was an Iraqi nationalist who represented an anti-Iranian stance. It was this climate that influenced his son and explains Sadr’s rejection of Iranian influence to some extent.
In his speech last Friday, Sadr presented himself as the voice of the people, criticising corruption and the Iraqi government’s inaction.
“Today I am declaring that none of the people who are in the government are representing us, regardless of whether he sympathises with us or belongs to us,” he said in front of his supporters.
However, his al-Ahrar bloc won 34 seats in the 2014 elections and holds three cabinet posts. Sadr is embedded in the Iraqi political establishment and some criticise him for being inauthentic.
His speech wasn’t opposing the government in general though. In fact, Sadr called for support for the politics of Haider al-Abadi, the current prime minister who has found himself under pressure from pro-Iranian politicians and militia leaders who confront his reform plans.
Sadr has a fairly distinct profile. First, he is an influential Shia cleric, militia leader and politician who publicly rejects foreign influence. Second, his nationalist approach opposes sectarianism. Considering Iraq’s present state, characterised by a heavily Shia-Iranian-influenced central government, the Sadr approach could offer an opportunity for inclusion that Iraq’s disrupted society deeply needs.
On the other hand, Sadr’s motives remain unclear, and so far there is no proof that he is committed to the idea of the country’s constitution and the rule of law. In his speech he threatened to storm the Green Zone, the heavily fortified area in Baghdad which is home to government buildings and foreign embassies.
That is likely to be understood symbolically, because Sadr lacks the political and military resources as well as incentives for such an undertaking. Nonetheless, the message is strong.
Time will tell if Sadr’s spectacularly staged reappearance will be followed by concrete action, but one thing is certain: the Iranians will be watching the situation closely as the movement challenges Tehran’s influence in the long term.
– Lars Hauch studied International Development in Vienna and worked as head of editorial at the German media outlet Commentarist. With a focus on the MENA region, he published a commented roundup www.menaroundup.com, in addition to writing for EAWorldview and the German CARTA.
The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Eye.
Photo: Iraqi Shia cleric Moqtada al-Sadr (Top-L) delivers a speech to his supporters during a demonstration in Baghdad’s Tahrir Square on 26 February, 2016, calling for governmental reform and elimination of corruption (AFP).

– See more at: http://www.middleeasteye.net/columns/iraqs-sadr-won-t-storm-green-zone-he-sends-clear-message-2080331978#sthash.XuIZn0Ql.dpuf

The Consequences of a “Regional” Nuclear War (Revelation 9)

ISIS Next Attack On Babylon (Daniel 8:4)

ISIS plotting ‘to kill HUNDREDS of Americans’ in sick bid to fix US presidential election

ISIS is actively planning a series of bloody Paris-style massacres in the United States ahead of the presidential election in November.

By Jason Taylor
PUBLISHED: 05:25, Sat, Mar 5, 2016 | UPDATED: 08:40, Sat, Mar 5, 2016
US ISIS attack election 2016
GETTY

ISIS is plotting a deadly terror attack on the US mainland in 2016, according to analysts
There is now an “extremely high” likelihood that the death cult will try to destabilise the final months of the campaign by carrying out gun attacks and exploding bombs in US cities.The shock warning comes from one the world’s leading authorities on ISIS and comes amid fears the group has acquired highly dangerous radioactive material which could be used to make a dirty bomb.Dr Theodore Karasik, a Gulf-based analyst of regional geo-political affairs said: “There is an extremely high likelihood that ISIS followers will throw off the election in the United States by using Paris-style violence in American cities.”
ISIS terrorists terror attack united states
REUTERS

ISIS fighters are ‘plotting’ terror attacks in the United States to disrupt the election campaign

And he even predicted that such attacks could help ISIS hand a shock victory to Donald Trump by boosting his anti-immigration, anti-Muslim stance.Islamic State has carried out more than 70 terrorist attacks in 20 countries outside Iraq and Syria since it declared its caliphate in 2014.Analytsts expect this number to surge in 2016 as it seeks to expand it’s impact on the western world.
 According to Dr Karasik, ISIS would directly benefit from a Donald Trump victory because his policy towards Iran would seriously destabilise the Middle East.
US terror attack warning
GETTY

An attack on Washington or New York would destabilise the 2016 US election

America Paris terror attacks ISIS
AP

A Paris-style terror attack on the US is imminent, according to analysts

He said: “The key question is how will a Trump presidency look and interact with the Islamic Republic of Iran? And the answer may surprise you.
 “As president, Trump would be likely to open Iran to American business based on his vision of US economic prowess. He is likely to accelerate Iran’s acceleration into the global economy.
“Trump won’t like the Europeans and the Asians are beating him to the Iranian treasure chest.
“For President Trump, Iran is the biggest piece of real estate ever, with immense wealth and opportunity for American companies. The billions of dollars’ worth of business is too good for the next American president to pass up.”

And this scenario would inevitably stir up tensions in the region, fuelling the rise of ISIS further. Dr Theodore Karasik added: “This scenario between Trump and Iran will not play well with Gulf Arab neighbours especially in the current environment.

“Don’t be surprised if a Trump presidency cuddles up to Iranian business.

“Overall, a President Trump will likely find a domestic resonance for his outreach to the Islamic Republic if American companies create new jobs and opportunities to make America great again no matter what the cost.”

ISIS global terror attacks map
N&S

ISIS has carried out 70 terrorist attacks in 20 countries since 2014

The warning comes just days after it emerged Islamic State terrorists may have obtained radioactive material that could be used as a weapon in their war against the West.
 The Iraqi government is searching for the material, stored in a protective case the size of a laptop, after it was stolen in November from an American storage facility near the southern city of Basra.
U.S. oilfield services company Weatherford – who owned it – said it utilizes gamma rays to test flaws in materials in oil and gas pipelines.

Officials fear it could be used to make a so-called ‘dirty bomb’ a devastating device that combines nuclear material with explosives to contaminate huge areas with deadly radiation.